2010 | 1 | 28-39
Article title

BULDING UP DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS FOR SCIENTIFIC PERSONNEL IN UKRAINE BY USE OF STATISTICAL MODELS (Pobudova stsenariyiv rozvytku naukovykh kadriv v Ukrayini na osnovi vykorystannya statystychnykh modeley)

Title variants
Languages of publication
The article is devoted to studying and medium-term forecasting of the scientific personnel in Ukraine by use of multifactor regression model, with focus on change in R&D employment mainly through redistribution of qualified staff between economic activities and with consideration to possible transformation of the socio-economic model in Ukraine in the forthcoming three years. Most significant factors (indicators) are identified, which, if brought to control, enable for accelerating or hampering renovation of the scientific personnel: the share of GDP allocated for R&D, the ratio of compensation in R&D and the industry average, the ratio of compensation in R&D and the average in public administration, the ratio of compensation in R&D and the average in banking and financial intermediation sector, the ratio of compensation in R&D and the average across the national economy. Three development scenarios for the scientific personnel in Ukraine till 2012 are built on the basis of the constructed multifactor regression model (scenario 1 - moderate growth; scenario 2 - optimistic; scenario 3 - pessimistic), with measures of budgetary support to science, proposed specifically for each model. Results of the modeling allow for the conclusion that growth in R&D employment in Ukraine can only be expected through recruitment of new personnel, but this growth will only be feasible when proper working conditions in R&D are created and the ratio of compensation in R&D and 'competitive' sectors (finances and public administration in the first place) is changed.
  • Olexandra S. Vashulenko, Tsentr doslidzhen' naukovo-tekhnichnogo potentsialu ta istorii nauky imeni G.M. Dobrova NAN Ukrainy, bulvar Tarasa Shevchenka, 60, 01032, Kyiv-32, Ukraine
Document Type
Publication order reference
CEJSH db identifier
YADDA identifier
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.