PL EN


2008 | 55 | 1 | 12-26
Article title

THE MEAN ERROR IN PREDICTION FOR SOME 'SIMPLE' PREDICTION METHODS

Authors
Title variants
Languages of publication
PL
Abstracts
EN
The literature concerning so-called 'simple' statistical prediction methods suggests that there is no possibility to estimate the mean error in prediction for these methods. This article shows that there is such possibility. As an example the author considers the 'status quo' method and the extrapolation of the mean method and derives the formulas for the mean error in prediction for these methods. The author also compares estimated mean errors in prediction for both methods.
Year
Volume
55
Issue
1
Pages
12-26
Physical description
Document type
ARTICLE
Contributors
  • B. Guzik, Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu, Wydzial Informatyki i Gospodarki Elektronicznej, Katedra Ekonometrii, al. Niepodleglosci 10, 60-967 Poznan, Poland
References
Document Type
Publication order reference
Identifiers
CEJSH db identifier
08PLAAAA04638891
YADDA identifier
bwmeta1.element.1c4bc6e9-b7be-3bb2-bdb9-e4527e0aa7d3
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