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PL EN


2008 | 55 | 1 | 12-26

Article title

THE MEAN ERROR IN PREDICTION FOR SOME 'SIMPLE' PREDICTION METHODS

Authors

Title variants

Languages of publication

PL

Abstracts

EN
The literature concerning so-called 'simple' statistical prediction methods suggests that there is no possibility to estimate the mean error in prediction for these methods. This article shows that there is such possibility. As an example the author considers the 'status quo' method and the extrapolation of the mean method and derives the formulas for the mean error in prediction for these methods. The author also compares estimated mean errors in prediction for both methods.

Year

Volume

55

Issue

1

Pages

12-26

Physical description

Document type

ARTICLE

Contributors

author
  • B. Guzik, Akademia Ekonomiczna w Poznaniu, Wydzial Informatyki i Gospodarki Elektronicznej, Katedra Ekonometrii, al. Niepodleglosci 10, 60-967 Poznan, Poland

References

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

CEJSH db identifier
08PLAAAA04638891

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.1c4bc6e9-b7be-3bb2-bdb9-e4527e0aa7d3
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