DO WE NEED CASSANDRA IN 21ST CENTURY (SOME DISPUTABLE REFLECTIONS ABOUT SOCIAL PREDICTIONS) (Chy potribna Kassandra u dvadtsyat' pershomu stolitti (deiaki rozumy stosovno sotsial'noho prohnozuvannia))

• Authors: Nagorny Boris
• Languages of publication: UK

Abstracts

EN

The author considers some aspects of social prognosis. The article analyzes the term 'Cassandra's information' understood as a high precise prognostication with a great deal of negative information, which is often rejected. The number of illustrative examples of prognoses unaccepted both by public opinion and authorities are suggested. The necessity of registration of social consequences of different kinds of innovations which came into life in 10-15 years is emphasised. Some types of social indexes influencing the possible scenarios of our countries' future development are analysed. The author comes to a conclusion about necessity of complex problems decision by specialists in social prognostication in such a way: to supply objective information and, at the same time, not enlarge the population's anxiety coefficient.

Keywords

EN

'CASSANDRA'S INFORMATION'; DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS; SOCIAL INDEXES; SOCIAL PROGNOSTICATION; UNACCEPTED PROGNOSES

Discipline

• SOCIOLOGY: SOCIOLOGY

• Publisher: Institute of Sociology, National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine; http://www.i-soc.kiev.ua
• Journal: Sotsiolohiia: teoriia, metody, marketyng (Sociology: Theory, Methods, Marketing)
• Year: 2009
• Issue: 2
• Pages: 202-209
• Document type: ARTICLE

Contributors

author

Nagorny Boris

• Boris Nagorny, V. Dal Eastern-Ukrainian National University, Luhansk (for more information address the journal editorial office

Identifiers

CEJSH db identifier

09UAAAAA069412