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2017 | 65 | 10 | 972 – 990
Article title

HOW TO ANTICIPATE RECESSION VIA TRANSPORT INDICES

Content
Title variants
Languages of publication
EN
Abstracts
EN
This article focuses on transport industry development as a leading economic indicator. We investigate the dynamics of growth in the Cass Freight Index: Expenditures and Shipments, capturing the US transport industry, and apply a system of logistic models of population growth and competition to transport industry indices. We show that the constructed structure identifies the signs of a US economic downturn/recession well in advance.
Contributors
author
  • European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), Westhafen-platz 1, 60327 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
References
Document Type
Publication order reference
Identifiers
YADDA identifier
bwmeta1.element.cejsh-09fa5337-a63b-45b6-81e9-bcff97e5047f
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