Hipotetyczne i rzeczywiste decyzje podejmowane w warunkach ryzyka

• Authors: Forlicz Maria , Rólczyński Tomasz

Title variants

EN

Hypothetical and real decisions made under risk

• Languages of publication: PL

Abstracts

PL

W artykule przedstawiono wyniki badan eksperymentalnych, których celem było sprawdzenie, czy różne formy prób ujawnienia preferencji dotyczących wyborów w warunkach ryzyka prowadzą do otrzymania tych samych wyników w przypadku decyzji dotyczących loterii, w których można ponieść i zyski, i straty. Wyniki badań pokazują, że decyzje hipotetyczne są nieco bardziej ryzykowne od decyzji rzeczywistych. Mimo to, biorąc pod uwagę wysoki współczynnik korelacji między odpowiedziami hipotetycznymi i rzeczywistymi, można sądzić, że odpowiedzi hipotetyczne są dobrym odzwierciedleniem rzeczywistych zachowań.

EN

We present results of an experimental study conducted in order to find out, whether different forms of elicitation of preferences concerning decisions made under risk lead to obtaining the same results in case of lotteries including both possible gains and losses. Our results show that hypothetical decisions are slightly more risky than incentivized decisions. However, taking into consideration high level of correlation between hypothetical and incentivized decisions, we can say that hypothetical answers are a good predictor of real behavior.

Keywords

PL

Badania eksperymentalne; Decyzje ryzykowane; Hipotetyczny fałsz

EN

Decisions under risk; Experimental research; Hypothetical bias

• Publisher: Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny w Katowicach
• Journal: Studia Ekonomiczne
• Year: 2017
• Volume: 331
• Pages: 22-32

Contributors

author

Forlicz Maria

• Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu. Wydział Inżynieryjno-Ekonomiczny. Katedra Rachunkowości, Controllingu, Informatyki i Metod Ilościowych

author

Rólczyński Tomasz

• Wyższa Szkoła Bankowa we Wrocławiu. Wydział Finansów i Zarządzania. Instytut Ekonomii i Prawa

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Identifiers

ISSN

2083-8611