Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


1999 | 63 | 89-105

Article title

Współczesne wahania koniunkturalne w Niemczech i w Polsce

Content

Title variants

EN
Contemporary Fluctuation of Economic Situation in Germany and in Poland

Languages of publication

PL

Abstracts

EN
The processes of cyclical fluctuations occur both in market economies and in the systems under transformation. Fluctuations in the countries where transformation is in progress develop in different institutional, political and social conditions. The level of economic growth in those countries is lower and long-term changes in the sphere of ownership and in the structure of sectors play a different role. The aim of these studies is an empirical analysis of the morphology of contemporary cyclical fluctuations occurring in the German economy, which has well developed market structures, and in Poland - where profound changes of the system are in progress. The conducted empirical analysis proves that in the 1990s cyclical fluctuations occurred both in the German and in the Polish economies. The morphological features of fluctuations in the Polish economy highly resemble the properties of the growth cycle. This statement is justified by the length of the cycle, the relation between the favourable and unfovourable phase of business conditions as well as by the amplitude of the phases and the whole cycle. This may mean that business conditions processes occurring in the Polish economy result (as regards the external symptoms of the fluctuations) in the effects similar to those, which can be observed, in highly developed market economies.

Year

Volume

63

Pages

89-105

Physical description

Contributors

References

  • [1] Barczyk R.: Główne teorie współczesnych wahań koniunkturalnych. AE, Poznań 1997.
  • [2] Barczyk R., Kowalczyk Z.: Metody badania koniunktury gospodarczej. PWN, Warsza- wa-Poznań 1993.
  • [3] Burns A.F., Mitchell W.C.: Measuring business cycle. „Studies in Business Cycles” Nr 2/1946.
  • [4] The business cycle today. Red, V. Zarnowitz. New York 1972.
  • [5] Diagnose und Prognose ais Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Methodenprobleme. Red. V. Zarnowitz. Berlin 1962.
  • [6] Friedman A., Schwartz A.J.: Money and business cycles. „Review of Econoinics and Statistica” Vol. 45, Nr 1/1963.
  • [7] Geigant F., Sobotka D., Westphal H.M.: Lexikon der Volkswirtschaft. Munchen 1975.
  • [8] Gruszczyński M., Kołodko G.W.: Regularność wahań tempa wzrostu gospodarczego. „Gospodarka Planowa" nr 7-8/1975.
  • [9] Guzik B.: Modele sezonowości — modele z harmonikami, [w:] B. Guzik, W. Jurek: Ćwiczenia z ekonometrii. AE, Poznań 1997.
  • [10] Johr W.A.: Die Konjunkturschwankungen. Tiibingen 1952.
  • [11] Koniunktura gospodarcza. Red. Z. Kowalczyk. PWE, Warszawa 1982.
  • [12] Kórber M.: Weik Konjunkturdiagnose und Konjunkturmessung. Eine Untersuchung der Adaąuationsprobleme. Tiibingen 1983.
  • [13] Lippe von der P., Heese V., Kosfeld R.: Investitionszyklen in Polen. Berlin 1984.
  • [14] Matkowski Z.: Ogólny wskaźnik koniunktury, dla gospodarki polskiej. „Ekonomista” nr 1/1996.
  • [15] Mintz I.: Dating American growth cycle. [w:] The business cycle today. NBER, New York 1972.
  • [16] Pawłowski Z.: Ekonometria. PWN, Warszawa 1975.
  • [17] Sabov Z.: Zyklische wirtschaftliche Aktivtatsschwankungen in sozialistischen Planwirt- schaften. Berlin 1983.
  • [18] Stock K.: Verfahren zur statistischen Analyse zyklischer Schwankungen. „IFO - Schnelldienst” Nr 35-36/1979.
  • [19] Talaga L., Zieliński Z.: Analiza spektralna w modelowaniu ekonometrycznym. PWN, Warszawa 1986.
  • [20] Wagner A.: Die Konjunkturzyklen in der BRD. Eine komparativ - dynamische Kom- ponentenanaluse flir Jahre 1951-1971. Tiibingen 1972.
  • [21] Weber W., Neis H.: Einleitung. Entwicklung und Probleme der Konjunkturtheorie. [w:] Konjunktur und Beschaftigungstheorie. Koln 1967.
  • [22] Zając K.: Zarys metod statystycznych. PWE, Warszawa 1976.
  • [23] Zieliński R.: Tablice statystyczne. PWN, Warszawa 1972.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.cejsh-a246302f-e4f4-463c-8eb4-79ea9e7c8594
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.