LONG-TERM RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN ECONOMIC CYCLE AND CRIME IN POLAND

• Authors: Zubrzycki, Bartłomiej

Abstracts

EN

Over the years 1996-2012 clear co-variation between criminality and economic indicators in Poland, e.g. unemployment rate, was visible. The paper describes criminals’ incentives for criminal activities during economic recessions and recoveries. Using the concept of cointegration, econometric analysis of relation between the general crime rate, unemployment rate and Gross Domestic Product growth rate was conducted. The long run relationship combining these three variables was found. During the periods of sluggish economy, when unemployment rate increased and GDP growth decreased, Polish crime rate was higher.

Keywords

EN

unemployment; criminality; economic cycle; cointegration

• Publisher: Wyższa Szkoła Bezpieczeństwa Publicznego i Indywidualnego “Apeiron” w Krakowie
• Journal: Kultura Bezpieczeństwa. Nauka – Praktyka – Refleksje
• Year: 2014
• Volume: 16(16)
• Pages: 511-520

Dates

published

2018-08-21

Contributors

author

Zubrzycki, Bartłomiej