Residential homes for the elderly. Estimation of future demand
Selected contents from this journal
Languages of publication
The aim of this work is the attempt to determine the future demand for places in social aid homes for those over 60 and 75 years of age in 2010-2030. The projection was made in four variants. In the basis variant changes in the frequency of disability were assumed. In another ones, the percentage of disability was decreased by 2%, 1% and 0,5%. According to the basic variant of the forecast, the number of residents of social aid homes at the age of over 60 will increase by 72% within the space of 25 years, from 41 850 in 2005 to 72 080 in 2030. However, the number of residents who will be over 75 will almost double. According to the second variant of the forecast, (the declarations of disability will be lower by 2%) the number of residents aged 60 and more will vary from 39 390 and 41 740, and of those aged 75 and more will increase by 21% from 21 910 in 2005 to 26 680 in 2030.
Publication order reference
CEJSH db identifier