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2016 | 4 | 53-71

Article title

NEW DEVELOPMENTS AND REFORM PROPOSALS OF THE MACROECONOMIC IMBALANCE PROCEDURE

Title variants

Conference

4

Languages of publication

EN

Abstracts

EN
The European Union (EU) has had a five-year experience with the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure (MIP) that was introduced by the European Commission in December 2011 as a response to accumulation of huge imbalances with the EU and the euro area. This paper evaluates results of the MIP and aims to examine what kind of imbalances have been revealed by the MIP, evaluate the current settings of the MIP and propose reforms that would enhance functioning and applicability of the MIP in practice. Based on results published in Alert Mechanism Reports and In-Depth Reviews and evaluation of the yearly cycle of the MIP, we propose several reforms and changes in the MIP and the scoreboard of indicators in particular. We bring forward a concept of relative thresholds that reflect economic development much better than currently applied absolute thresholds. Moreover, we recommend modification of some of the indicators involved in the MIP and introduction of maximally three flagship indicators that would receive special attention in assessment of the risk stemming from macroeconomic imbalances.

Year

Issue

4

Pages

53-71

Physical description

Dates

published
2017-03-15

References

  • [1.]Bénassy-Quéré, A., X. Ragot, 2015. A Policy Mix for the Euro Area. Les notes du conseil d’analyse économique No 21.
  • [2.]Bobeva, D., 2013. The new EU Macroeconomic Imbalances Procedure and its Relevance for the Candidate Countries, Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, vol. 2, issue 1, pp. 69-88.
  • [3.]Boysen-Hogrefer, J., N. Jannsen, M. Plödt, T. Schwarzmüller, 2016. An empirical evaluation of macroeconomic surveillance in the European Union. Kiel Institute for the World Economy Working Paper no. 2014.
  • [4.]Ederer, S., 2015. Macroeconomic imbalances and institutional reforms in EMU. WWW for Europe Working Paper no 87.
  • [5.]Gros, D.,A. Giovannini, 2014. The “Relative” Importance of EMU Macroeconomic Imbalances in the Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure. IAI Documenti 14/02. [online]. [2016-06-10]. Available from: http://www.ceps.be/system/files/Relative%20 importance %20of%20EMU%20Macroeconomic%20Imbalances.pdf
  • [6.]Merler, S., J. Pisani-Ferry, 2012. Sudden stops in the euro area. Bruegel Policy Contribution no. 2012/06.
  • [7.]Moschella, M., 2014. Monitoring Macroeconomic Imbalances: Is EU Surveillance More Effective than IMF Surveillance? Journal of Common Market Studies, vol. 52, issue 6, pp. 1273-1289.
  • [8.]Sapir, A., G. B. Wolff, 2015. Euro-area governance: What to reform and how to do it. Bruegel Policy Brief no. 2015/01.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-0a05979a-01a0-467e-af6e-218dfbd25043
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