Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


2010 | 11 | 3 | 136-157

Article title

The Analysis of Mortality Changes in Selected European Countries in The Period 1960-2006

Content

Title variants

Languages of publication

EN

Abstracts

EN
Demographic changes which took place in the 20th century clearly reveal progressive ageing of whole societies. This phenomenon influences the risk connected with calculating the products of insurance companies and pension funds, where calculated mortality is one of the most important factors. The paper presents the analysis of mortality changes in male and female populations in selected countries from Central Europe (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia) and from Western Europe (France, Italy, Spain and Sweden) in the period 1960-2006. The analysis of the mortality changes has been carried out with the use of variables proposed in 2007 by J. P. Morgan in his work Life Metrics - A toolkit for measuring and managing longevity and mortality risks. The data used for the analysis have been obtained from www.mortality.org. The van Broekhoven algorithm has been applied for smoothing crude mortality rates across different ages. The analysis of mortality changes in selected European countries in the period 1960-2006 has shown considerable differences in the changes of initial mortality rate. Apart from obvious differences in male and female mortality, significant differences in the dynamics of mortality between Western and Central European countries were revealed. The most significant differences in the change of graduated initial mortality rate have been observed for people above 40-45 from Central and Western European countries. The period of most striking disproportions in the change of graduated initial mortality rate were the years 1970-1990, which seems to be the result of the socioeconomic policy in Central European countries.

Year

Volume

11

Issue

3

Pages

136-157

Physical description

Contributors

  • Cracow University of Economics
  • Cracow University of Economics

References

  • ALHO, J. M., SPENCER, B. D., (2005), Statistical Demography and Forecasting. Springer Series in Statistics. New York: Springer.
  • ANDREEV, K. F., VAUPEL, J. W., (2005), Patterns of Mortality Improvement over Age and Time: Estimation, Presentation and Implications, http://paa2005.princeton.edu/
  • BENJAMIN, B., POLLARD J. H., (1993), The Analysis of Mortality and Other Actuarial Statistics. London: Institute and Faculty of Actuaries.
  • BONGAARTS, J. (2005), Long-range trends in adult mortality: Models and projection methods. Demography, 42 (1), pp. 23–49.
  • BOOTH, H., (2006), Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review. International Journal of Forecasting, 22 (3), pp. 547–581.
  • FRĄCKIEWICZ, J. (ED.)., (2002), Poland versus Europe. Demographic processes at the beginning of 21st century. The process of ageing in Poland and its social consequences, Papers from The First Demographic Congress in Poland 2001–2002, Polskie Towarzystwo Polityki Społecznej, Katowice.
  • GRABIŃSKI, T., WYDYMUS, S., ZELIAŚ, A. (ED.), (1989), Methods on numeric taxonomy in modelling socio-economic phenomena, PWN, Warszawa.
  • HOUGAARD, P., (2000), Analysis of Multivariate Survival Data, Springer, New York Human Mortality Database. University of California, Berkeley (USA), and Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (Germany): www.mortality.org.
  • JÓŹWIAK, J., (2004), Methodological introduction to modern demographic analysis [in:] Poland’s demographic problems before joining the European Union, ed. Strzelecki Z., PWE, Warszawa.
  • KOWALESKI, J., (2003), Methodological issues in research on the process of ageing [in:] Papers from The First Demographic Congress in Poland 2001–2002, Demographic processes at the beginning of 21st century. Poland’sversus Europe (ed. Strzelecki Z.), Rządowa Rada Ludnościowa Volume XVII, Warszawa.
  • Life Metrics: A toolkit for measuring and managing longevity and mortality risks Technical Document, Pension Advisory Group, JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Technical Document, Pension Advisory Group, JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., 2007, http://www.jpmorgan.com/pages/jpmorgan/investbk/solutions/lifemetrics/library.
  • KURKIEWICZ, J., (1992), Basic methods of demographic analysis, PWN Warszawa.
  • ROSSET, E., (1959), The process of ageing. Demographic Studies. Warszawa.
  • TABEAU, E., VAN DEN BERG JETHS, A., HEATHCOTE, C. (Eds.), (2001), Forecasting mortality in developed countries. Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective, Kluwer Academic Publishers.
  • VAN BROEKHOVEN, H., (2002), Market Value of Liabilities Mortality Risk: A Practical Model. North American Actuarial Journal 6(2), pp. 95–106.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-14bc94c7-184e-4f16-969a-853bf57faa68
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.