EN
Creation of the Territorial Defense System (TDS) in Poland is a very serious step in military, political and economic terms. Therefore, it is important to understand if this decision is an effective response to Russian threat or a politically motivated populist mistake. Article explains, why military conflict between NATO and Russia is not realistic. At the same time, some interest groups in American elite (mainly, the so called “hawks”) are interested in construction of the “geopolitical wall” between Russia and the EU, creating artificial “Russian threat” for Europe and twisting spiral of confrontation between two sides with the help of Baltic states and Poland (concept of “Intermarium”). Contemporary Polish ruling elite follows this strategy, because sees America as a main guarantor of Poland’s security and wants to be its main ally in Europe. Also exploits “Russian threat” to strengthen its popularity internally. Creation of TDS – one of the populist steps in this direction. But it can be paradoxically useful in case of possible disintegration of Ukraine.