The Future of Political Participation. A Case Study on Future Governance in "Global Europe 2050" Report

• Authors: Piotr Jutkiewicz , Norbert Kołos , Łukasz Macander , Kacper Nosarzewski
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

The case study examines anticipatory assumptions in the European Commission report “Global Europe 2050” to set out potential axes of future evolutions political participation in Europe. A multifold analysis based on Hybrid Strategic Scenarios method and critical reading of the theses are employed to uncover and reframe tacit assumptions of leading European futurists who have contributed to the report and check them against potential scenarios of government/individual relation from now to the year 2050. Nine different assumptions about long term futures of governance and society are identified and tested against three generic scenarios and the Learning Intensive Society Model to provide insights into nine focal points of future political participation evolutions. This method can be replicated for academic and practical analysis of policy papers and strategic documents to optimize their reach and effect, for improved alignment of policies with main social challenges.

Keywords

EN

Participatory governance; political participation; anticipatory systems; futures studies; Global Europe 2050; Hybrid Strategic Scenarios

• Publisher: Komitet Prognoz „Polska 2000 Plus”
• Journal: Przyszłość. Świat-Europa-Polska
• Year: 2014
• Issue: 2
• Pages: 55-63

Dates

published

2014

Contributors

author

Piotr Jutkiewicz

• 4CF sp. z o.o.

author

Norbert Kołos

• 4CF sp. z o.o.

author

Łukasz Macander

• 4CF sp. z o.o.

author

Kacper Nosarzewski

• 4CF sp. z o.o.

References

• European Commission. (2012). Global Europe 2050. Luxembourg. Publications Office of the European Union
• OECD. (2001). Governance in the 21st Century. Paris.
• Miller R. (2006). Futures Literacy. A Hybrid Strategic Scenario Method. Arhus. Danish Technological Institute.
• Quoidbach, J., Gilbert, D., Wilson, T. (2013). The end of history illusion. Science, 339, 96-98.
• Scharmer O. (2008). Theory U: Leading from the Future as it Emerges. San Francisco, CA. Berrett-Koehler Publishers.
• Polska Akademia Nauk. Komitet Prognoz "Polska 2000 plus". (2011). Polska 2050. Raport. Warszawa. Komitet Prognoz "Polska 2000 plus" przy Prezydium PAN.

Identifiers

ISSN

1985-0949

ISSN

2391-5307