ROUNDWOOD PRODUCTION FORECASTING IN POLAND, ON THE BASIS OF THE DATA OF THE CENTRAL STATISTICAL OFFICE IN THE YEARS 2000 - 2012

• Authors: Andrushko Lyubov
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

The paper presents the results of research on the construction and evaluation of the forecast of the economic phenomenon in the future time period on the example of roundwood production in Poland. The process of building an econometric model as a linear function is illustrated in this paper. The trend function was verified and the convergence coefficient was calculated. The point and the interval forecast was constructed. On the basis of the results of studies the forecast accuracy was evaluated and a number of recommendations were presented. The recommendations regard the use of research results for decision-making and the needs of the material economy.

Keywords

EN

forestry and wood industry; roundwood production; econometric model; point forecast; interval forecast; forecast evaluation

• Publisher: Katedra Informatyki Szkoła Główna Gospodarstwa Wiejskiego w Warszawie
• Journal: Information Systems in Management
• Year: 2016
• Volume: 5
• Issue: 3
• Pages: 307-317

Dates

published

2016

Contributors

author

Andrushko Lyubov

• Kielce University of Technology, Faculty of Management and Computer Modelling, Chair of Management and Marketing

References

• Sobczyk M. (2008) Prognozowanie. Teoria. Przykłady. Zadania, Wydawnictwo Placet, Warszawa
• Kufel T. (2011) Ekonometria: rozwiązywanie problemów z wykorzystaniem programu GRETL, Polskie Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa
• Borkowski B., Dudek H., Szczęsny W. (2003) Ekonometria: wybrane zagadnienia, Polskie Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa
• Ignatczak W., Chromińska M. (2004) Statystyka: teoria i zastosowanie, Wydawnictwo Wyższej Szkoły Bankowej, Poznań
• Błaszczuk D. (2014) Podstawy prognozowania, symulacji i sterowania optymalnego Polskie Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN, Warszawa
• Lis Ch. (2010) Modelowanie predyktywne wartości dodanej brutto w Polsce, Centrum Badań Ekonomicznych, Szczecin

Identifiers

ISSN

2084-5537