The long-run relationship between the stock market and main macroeconomic variables in Poland

• Authors: Czapkiewicz Anna , Stachowicz Marta

Abstracts

EN

The investigation concerns the problem of whether some macroeconomic variables and the EUR/PLN exchange rate might affect the performance of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The answer to this question can be obtained from a cointegration analysis. The advantage of testing for cointegration is the identification of a stable long-run relationship between the stock price index, some macroeconomic variables, and the EUR/PLN exchange rate, which can be implemented using various cointegration methodologies. Analysis of the response of one variable to an impulse of another variable is also performed to show the importance of a given variable in a system.

Keywords

EN

long-run relationship; model VECM; stock market; macroeconomic data

• Publisher: Wydawnictwo AGH
• Journal: Managerial Economics
• Year: 2016
• Volume: 17
• Issue: 1
• Pages: 7-20

Contributors

author

Czapkiewicz Anna

• AGH University of Science and Technology in Krakow, Faculty of Management, Department of Applications of Mathematics in Economics

author

Stachowicz Marta

• AGH University of Science and Technology in Krakow, Faculty of Applied Mathematics