Skutki brexitu dla gospodarki Wielkiej Brytanii i Polski
Effects of Brexit for the Economies of the United Kingdom and Poland
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The majority of analytical centres forecasts show that – as a result of the United Kingdom’s resignation from the membership in the European Union – the British economy will face a recession. From the perspective of the United Kingdom’s development prospects, the effects of withdrawal from the EU should not be, however, very severe: in the worst scenario the GDP will decrease by 7.9 percent by 2030. Yet, the decrease is rather expected to be lower – between 1.1 and 3.5 percent – and with no risk of a deep and long-lasting economic crisis. The Polish economy will also experience negative effects of Brexit, these will not, however, be very serious either, and they will be equalised within three or four years thanks to the development of alternative markets. Still, some Polish companies closely connected with the British market may have difficulties finding new business niches.
- Garapich M. P. 2016. brexit – fakty, mity, liczby. Możliwe konsekwencje wystąpienia Wielkiej Brytanii z Unii Europejskiej. Analiza głównych osi debat publicznych, 5 i dalsze. Warszawa: Instytut Spraw Publicznych.
- Harari D. 2016. “Productivity In the UK”, Briefing Papers 06492 :16.
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