PL EN


Journal
2018 | vol. 22 no. 2 | 34-44
Article title

Selected econometric methods of modelling the world’s population

Content
Title variants
PL
Wybrane metody modelowania liczby ludności świata
Languages of publication
EN
Abstracts
EN
Selected econometric methods of modelling the world’s population size based on historical data are presented in the paper. Periodical variables were used in the models proposed in the paper. Moreover, a logistic-type function was used in modelling. The purpose of the paper was to obtain a model describing the world’s population with the lowest possible maximal relative error and possibly the longest period of durability. In this work, 13,244 models from three families models were analyzed. Only a small part of such a large number of models satisfies the conditions of stability. The method of modelling the world’s population size allows to obtain models with maximal relative errors not exceeding 0.5%. Selected models were used to prediction of the world’s population up to 2050. The obtained results were compared with data published by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
Journal
Year
Pages
34-44
Physical description
Contributors
References
Document Type
Publication order reference
Identifiers
YADDA identifier
bwmeta1.element.desklight-3c61e008-99fb-4f96-9f04-f4e1ca4c4fa2
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