Dynamics and determinants of Russia’s geoeconomic strength in relation to the Central and Eastern European region

• Authors: Śliwiński Paweł Piotr

Title variants

PL

Dynamika i determinanty siły geoekonomicznej Rosji w relacji do regionu Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej

• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

The aim of the article is to examine the dynamics and the determinants of the geoeconomic strength of Russia in relation to Central and Eastern European countries (CEE-11) belonging to the European Union. The article confirms the research hypotheses that: (i) since 2014, the geoeconomic balance of power in Central and Eastern Europe began to change significantly in favor of the CEE-11 region, (ii) the economic sanctions imposed on Russia after 2014 negatively influenced its geoeconomic strength in relation to the CEE-11 region by reducing the export and import flows, as well as FDI net inflows in Russia compared to the CEE-11 countries. Panel regression analysis (ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares) was used to test the second hypothesis. All data used in the article comes from the World Bank database and covers the period from 2004 to 2020.

PL

Celem artykułu jest zbadanie dynamiki i uwarunkowań siły geoekonomicznej Rosji w stosunku do krajów Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej (EŚW-11) należących do Unii Europejskiej. Artykuł potwierdza postawione w nim hipotezy badawcze, że: (i) po 2014 roku geoekonomiczny układ sił w Europie Środkowo-Wschodniej zaczął się istotnie zmieniać na korzyść regionu EŚW-11 oraz (ii) sankcje gospodarcze nałożone na Rosję po 2014 roku negatywnie wpłynęły na jej siłę geoekonomiczną w stosunku do regionu EŚW poprzez zmniejszenie przepływów eksportowych i importowych oraz napływów netto BIZ do Rosji w porównaniu z krajami EŚW. Do przetestowania drugiej hipotezy wykorzystano analizę regresji panelowej (metodę najmniejszych kwadratów, OLS oraz w pełni zmodyfikowaną metodę najmniejszych kwadratów, FMOLS). Wszystkie dane wykorzystane w artykule pochodzą z bazy Banku Światowego i obejmują okres od 2004 do 2020 roku.

Keywords

EN

geoeconomics; Central and Eastern European countries; CEE-11; Russia; economic sanctions; geoeconomic strength

PL

geoekonomia; kraje Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej; EŚW-11; Rosja; sankcje gospodarcze; siła geoekonomiczna

• Publisher: Wydział Nauk Politycznych i Studiów Międzynarodowych, Uniwersytet Warszawski
• Journal: Przegląd Europejski
• Year: 2022
• Issue: 4(66)
• Pages: 123-142

Dates

published

2022

Contributors

author

Śliwiński Paweł Piotr

• Poznan University of Economics and Business

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