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2017 | 1(25) | 143-156

Article title

Tendencies and forecast of Ukraine’s economic development during 2014-2017

Authors

Content

Title variants

PL
KIERUNKI I PROGNOZY ROZWOJU GOSPODARCZEGO UKRAINY W LATACH 2014-2017

Languages of publication

EN

Abstracts

EN
The article deals with dynamics of the main indicators of Ukraine’s economic development during 2014-2016 and highlights the main reasons of such a condition. The author has identified the forecast trends for Ukraine in 2017, based on data of the IMF, the EBRD and the state government. The article stipulates that economic growth in Ukraine in 2017 will be completely dependent on investment and exports and will resolve long-standing structural problems, overcoming macroeconomic instability, because domestic demand will recover slowly. Special attention is given to investment and trade cooperation between Ukraine and Poland. The author analyzed the statistical data of export-import operations and investments between the countries.
PL
Artykuł dotyczy dynamiki głównych wskaźników rozwoju gospodarczego Ukrainy w latach 2014-2016 i podkreśla główne powody oddziałujące na jej kondycję gospodarczą. Autor wyznaczył prognozy dotyczące Ukrainy w 2017 r.. Prognozy zostały sporządzone na podstawie danych MFW, EBOR i rządu państwa. Autor przewiduje, że wzrost gospodarczy na Ukrainie w 2017 r. będzie w pełni zależny od inwestycji i eksportu oraz rozwiąże długotrwałe problemy strukturalne, przezwyciężając niestabilność makroekonomiczną, ponieważ popyt wewnętrzny będzie powoli wzrastać. Szczególną uwagę poświęca się współpracy inwestycyjnej i handlowej między Ukrainą a Polską. Autor przeanalizował dane statystyczne dotyczące operacji eksportu i importu oraz inwestycji pomiędzy tymi krajami.

Year

Volume

Pages

143-156

Physical description

Contributors

author
  • Lviv Institute of Economy and Tourism, Ukraine

References

  • Analytical review of the banking system of Ukraine for 2014. National rating agency “Rurik”. Retrieved January 28, 2015 from: http://www.rurik.com.ua/documents/research/ bank_system_2014.pdf
  • Archive of exchange rates National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved May 30, 2017 from: http://index.minfin.com.ua/arch/?nbu&
  • Direct investments from countries in Ukraine’s economy in 2016. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Retrieved September 19, 2016 from: http://www.ukrstat.gov. ua/operativ/operativ2016/ zd/ivu/ivu_u/ivu0416.html
  • Foreign direct investment in Ukraine: War and Peace. The economy Retrieved March 9, 2017 from: https://voxukraine.org/2017/01/12/investments-in-ukraine-ua/
  • Gross Domestic Product. State Statistics Service of Ukraine. Retrieved April 22, 2017 from: http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/operativ/operativ2005/vvp/vvp_ric/ vvp_u. htm.http://index.minfin.com.ua
  • IMF and EBRD have confirmed the forecast of GDP growth in Ukraine in 2017 at 2%. Interfax-Ukraine. Retrieved May 11, 2017 from: http://ua.interfax.com.ua/ news/general/420648.html
  • Investment cooperation between Ukraine and the EU. Embassy of Ukraine in Poland. Retrieved May 30, 2017 from: http://poland.mfa.gov.ua/ua/about-ukraine/ european-integration/ukr-eu-investment
  • Monetary statistics of NBU National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved June 10, 2017 from: http://www.bank.gov.ua/control/uk/publish/ article?art_id=36807
  • Polish investment rating of Ukraine in 20 times larger than Ukrainian Retrieved May 19, 2010 from: http://news.tochka.net/ua/86467-polskaya-otsenka-investitsiy-iz-ukrainy-v-20-raz-bolshe-ukrainskoy/6520-inostrantsy-podelili-ukrainskiemestorozhdeniya-gaza/86467-polskaya-otsenka-investitsiy-iz-ukrainy-v-20-razbolshe-ukrainskoy/5712-polyaki-rasprobovali-nemiroff
  • Summary table of inflation rates in Ukraine from 2000 to 2017. Ministry of Finance of Ukraine Retrieved June 15, 2017 from: http://index.minfin.com.ua/ index/infl/
  • The dynamics of Ukrainian-Polish investment cooperation. State Statistics Service of Ukraine Retrieved October 16, 2016 from: https://mfa.gov.ua/mediafiles/ sites/ poland/files/inwest_sp_2311.doc
  • The economy of Ukraine - 2017: more growth and less inflation. Finance.ua Retrieved December 30, 2016 from: http://news.finance.ua/ua/news/-/392088/ ekonomika-ukrayiny-2017-bilshe-zrostannya-i-menshe-inflyatsiyi dsl 30/12. 2016 h
  • The IMF forecasts growth of Ukraine’s export. Visnyk Ofitsiyno pro podatky Retrieved November 2, 2016 from: http://www.visnuk.com.ua/uk/news/ 100003240-mvf-prognozuye-zrostannya-eksportu-ukrayini
  • The main indicators of Ukraine’ banks. National Bank of Ukraine. Retrieved May 15, 2017 from: http://www.bank.gov.ua/ control/uk/publish/article?art_id=36807
  • The unemployment rate in Ukraine from 2000 to 2016 Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. Retrieved April 11, 2017 from: http://index.minfin.com.ua/people/unemploy.php
  • Ukraine’s economy in 2015. Uriadovyi kurier. Retrieved February 6, 2016 from: https://ukurier.gov.ua/uk/articles/ekonomika-ukrayini-za-2015-rik/
  • Ukraine’s economy in 2016. Uriadovyi kurier. Retrieved February 14, 2017 from: https://ukurier.gov.ua/uk/articles/ekonomika-ukrayini-za-2016-rik/
  • Ukrainian-Polish trade and economic cooperation (Information sheet). Ministry of Finance of Ukraine. Retrieved February 4, 2017 from: https://mfa.gov.ua/mediafiles/sites/poland/files/torgekonom_spiwr_150317.doc

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-527c6c6c-9857-47ea-a69a-e3ec6b9646a1
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