EN
In the paper the design of the probabilistic model of reserves is discussed. The objective is the elaboration of the innovation optimal strategy of the management of reserves of the based materials in a manufacturing company. The author discusses the kind of a probabilistic model of reserves aiming at the elaboration of the best management of primary material in the manufacturing company. The probabilistic model of reserves allows to form the innovation optimal strategy of the (R, Z) type of the primary materials management due to the profits coming from low cost components in working and furniture manufacturing company