Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


2017 | 1 | 99-118

Article title

Szanse i zagrożenia dla Irlandii Północnej po referendum i decyzji Wielkiej Brytanii o wystąpieniu z Unii Europejskiej

Authors

Content

Title variants

EN
Opportunities and Threats for Northern Ireland after the EU Referendum in the United Kingdom

Languages of publication

PL EN

Abstracts

EN
The purpose of this article is to analyze the opportunities and threats for Northern Ireland after the EU referendum in United Kingdom. As a basis for the research method a study based on the analysis of selected information sources was used. The referendum on the United Kingdom’s continuing membership of the European Union resulted in a victory for those wishing to leave the Union, and has become the impulse for discussions on the possible directions for future developments in Northern Ireland. There are two scenarios being considered: Northern Ireland remaining within the United Kingdom, but outside the European Union, leaving the United Kingdom and uniting with the Republic of Ireland, which would enable it to retain its membership of the European Union. A referendum on unifying Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, which is supported by republicans, is currently neither justified – the lackof sufficient support of the population, nor is it possible – as the proposition would be vetoed by the main unionist parties and by the government in London which is fully committed to maintaining the unity of the United Kingdom. If, however, the unifi cation of Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland occurred, in addition to the enormous initial cost, it could instigate the threat of destabilisation of the political scene and rekindle conflicts between Catholic and Protesant groups. In the long term, uniting with the Republic of Ireland would enable Northern Ireland to maintain a strong developmental impulse arising from the benefits of being a member of the EU; such as access to the Single European Market, structural funds, etc., which the province may lose if it stays within the United Kingdom. The real effects on Northern Ireland will depend on the results of the negotiations and decisions reached by the United Kingdom and the European Union on the conditions on exiting the Union and the future directions, forms and principles for further co-operation. Its economic development is of fundamental signifi cance for the future of Northern Ireland, including the peace process.

Year

Issue

1

Pages

99-118

Physical description

Contributors

author
  • Instytut Badań Ekonomicznych, Wydział Biznesu i Stosunków Międzynarodowych, Akademia Finansów i Biznesu Vistula

References

  • BBC News, EU referendum: Northern Ireland votes to Remain, 24.06.2016, http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-36614443 (dostęp 21.07.2016).
  • Campbell J., EU referendum analysis: How will Leave vote affect Northern Ireland’s economy?, BBC News, 24.06.2016, http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-36615459 (dostęp 12.07.2016).
  • Campos N., Coricelli F., Moretti L., Norwegian Rhapsody? The Political Economy Benefits of Regional Integration, “Centre for Economic Policy Research – CEPR Discussion Paper”, No. 10653/2015, http://ftp.iza.org/dp9098.pdf (dostęp 30.09.2016).
  • De Mars S., Murray C.R.G., O’Donoghue A., Warwick B.T.C., Policy Paper: Brexit, Northern Ireland and Ireland, Durham University, Newcastle University, June 2016, http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2797948 (dostęp 23.09.2016).
  • Dhingra S., Ottaviano G., Sampson T., Van Reenen J., The consequences of Brexit for UK trade and living standards, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, CEP Brexit Analysis No. 2, March 2016.
  • Dhingra S., Ottaviano G., Sampson T., Van Reenen J., The impact of Brexit on foreign investment in the UK, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, CEP Brexit Analysis No. 3, April 2016.
  • Donnelly D., A Review of the Literature on Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Northern Ireland Assembly, Research and Information Service, “Briefi ng Paper”, No. 10, 26.11.2014, http://www.niassembly.gov.uk/globalassets/documents/raise/publications/2015/eti/1015.pdf(dostęp 22.10.2016).
  • Ernst and Young, Another great year – but time to refl ect on how the UK can stay ahead of the pack, EY ’s attractiveness survey, UK 2015. FDI Intelligence, Improving the Quality of Foreign Direct Investment to Northern Ireland, July 2012, http://www.wavteq.com/fi les/Executive%20
  • Summary%20-%20Improving%20Quality%20of%20FDI%20(2012).pdf (dostęp 20.08.2016).
  • Handley K., Limão N., Trade and Investment under Policy Uncertainty: Theory and Firm Evidence, “American Economic Journal: Economic Policy”, No. 7(4)/2015.
  • Harrison A., Rodriguez-Clare A., Trade, Foreign Investment, and Industrial Policy for Developing Countries, National Bureau of Economic Research – NBER Working Paper Series, No. 15621/2009, http://www.nber.org/papers/w15261.pdf (dostęp 29.09.2016).
  • HM Government, The process for withdrawing from the European Union, Cm 9216, February 2016.
  • HM Revenue and Customs, Regional Trade Statistics, Third Quarter, 2015.
  • Holehouse M., Major Blow for Brexit Campaign as US Rules Out UK-Only Trade Deal, “The Telegraph”, 29.10.2015, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/eu/11962277/Majorblow-for-Brexit-campaign-as-US-rules-out-UK-only-trade-deal.html (dostęp 30.08.2016).
  • Hosford P., Over half of Irish people want a united Ireland, TheJournal.ie,21.03.2016, http://www.thejournal.ie/ireland-united-poll-claire-byrne-2672997-Mar2016/ (dostęp 24.08.2016).
  • Ireland in brief, Department of Foreign Affairs, Dublin 2000. KLC Consulting, Modeling Irish Unifi cation, New York, August 2015, http://prcg.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/Modeling-Irish-Unifi cation-Report.pdf (dostęp 22.09.2016).
  • Lynch P., Scottish Independence, the Quebec Model of Secession and the Political Future of the Scottish National Party, “Nationalism and Ethnic Politics”,No. 11(4)/2005.
  • McAngus C., Scottish independence back in play after Brexit shock – with a note of caution, The Conversation, 24.06.2016, http://theconversation.com/scottish-independence-back-in-play-after-brexit-shock-with-a-noteof-caution-61457 (dostęp 20.09.2016).
  • McMahon A., Majority sees Europe as ‘more important’ to State than UK, “The Irish Time”, 30.06.2016, http://www.irishtimes.com/news/social-affairs/majority-sees-europe-as-more-important-to-state-than-uk-1.2705994 (dostęp 10.07.2016).
  • Northern Ireland and the EU referendum, First Report of Session 2016–17,House of Commons, Northern Ireland Affairs Committee, 25.05.2016,
  • http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmniaf/48/48.pdf (dostęp 23.10.2016).
  • Northern Ireland Executive, Foster and Bell welcome 12.5% Corporation Tax rate, 17.11.2015, https://www.northernireland.gov.uk/news/foster-andbell-welcome-125-corporation-tax-rate (dostęp 23.10.2016).
  • O`Tolle E., Ireland faces partition again. Preserving the peace is critical, “The Guardian”, 26.06.2016, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/26/northern-ireland-republic-peace-brexitborder (dostęp 20.09.2016).
  • Oxford Economics, The Economic implications of a UK Exit from the EU for Northern Ireland, Briefi ng Paper, February 2016, https://d1iydh3qrygeij.cloudfront.net/Media/Default/Brexit/Brexit-NI-Report.pdf (dostęp 21.10.2016).
  • Ronek G., Wojtas M., Wielka Brytania wobec procesów integracji europejskiej – razem i osobno, w: 50 lat Traktatów Rzymskich. Sukcesy i trudne realia integracji europejskiej, red. B. Mucha-Leszko, „Biuletyn Europejski – Wydanie Specjalne”, Wydawnictwo UMCS, Lublin 2007.
  • Russell C., Angela Merkel can’t promise there will be special treatment for Ireland after Brexit, thejournal.ie, 12.07.2016, http://www.thejournal.ie/angela-merkel-ireland-no-special-treatment-brexit-2874649-Jul2016/ (dostęp 16.08.2016).
  • Russell R., Election Report: Northern Ireland Assembly Election, 5 May 2016, Northern Ireland Assembly, Research and Information Service, Research Paper, No. 36/2016, http://www.niassembly.gov.uk/globalassets/ documents/raise/publications/2016-2021/2016/general/3616.pdf(dostęp 13.10.2016).
  • UK Trade & Investment- UKTI, Inward Investment Report 2014 to 2015, 17.06.2015, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/ukti-inwardinvestment-report-2014-to-2015/ukti-inward-investment-report-2014-to-2015-online-viewing (dostęp 17.10.2016).
  • Winning N., Theresa May Seeks to Allay Post-Brexit Northern Ireland Border Fears, “The Wall Street Journal”, 25.07.2016, http://www.wsj.com/articles/theresa-may-seeks-to-allay-post-brexit-northern-ireland-borderfears-1469465089 (dostęp 3.09.2016).

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-60f99f8c-d9b9-4dd0-b746-71306895efdd
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.