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2012 | 13 | 2 | 107-124

Article title

Comparison of intraday volatility forecasting models for polish equities

Content

Title variants

Languages of publication

EN

Abstracts

EN
Several competing intraday volatility forecasting models for equally spaced data have been proposed in the literature. This study reviews a number of models and compares their forecasting performance using data on the market index of the Warsaw Stock Exchange. We also discuss choice criteria and issues specific to volatility forecast evaluation.

Year

Volume

13

Issue

2

Pages

107-124

Physical description

Dates

published
2012

Contributors

  • Queens College, City University of New York

References

  • Andersen T.G., Bollerslev T. (1997) Intraday periodicity and volatility persistence in financial markets, Journal of Empirical Finance, 4, 115-158.
  • Andersen T.G., Bollerslev T. (1998) DM-dollar volatility: Intraday activity patterns, macroeconomic announcements, and longer-run dependencies, Journal of Finance, 53, 219-265.
  • Bjørnstad J. F. (1990) Predictive likelihood: A review. Statistical Science, 5, 242– 265.
  • Bollerslev T (1986) Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307-327.
  • Diebold F., Mariano R. (1995) Comparing forecasting accuracy, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 13, 253-63.
  • Engle R. F. (1982) Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation,” Econometrica 50(4), 987-1007.
  • Engle R.F., Sokalska M. (2012), Forecasting intraday volatility in the US equity market. Multiplicative component GARCH, Journal of Financial Econometrics, 10, 54-83.
  • Patton A. (2011) Volatility forecast comparison using imperfect volatility proxies, Journal of Econometrics, 160, 246-256.
  • Sokalska M. (2010) Intraday volatility modeling: The example of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, Quantitative Methods in Economics, 11, 139-144.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.desklight-69081047-de6b-4a9c-96d8-f08b81164729
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