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2014 | 10(17) | 53-60

Article title

The bullwhip effect in the AR(1) demand structure

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EN

Abstracts

EN
In this note we derive the famous formula of F. Chen, Z. Drezner, J.K. Ryan and D. Simchi-Levi [2000a] for the bullwhip effect measure in a simple two-stage supply chain under the assumption that demands constitute autoregressive structure of order 1. Our approach is a little different than in Chen et. al [2000a] and therefore we obtain the formula as an equality unlike Chen et. al [2000a], where they have it as a lower bound. Moreover, we analyze the bullwhip effect measure formula and in some cases we have different conclusions than in Chen et. al [2000a].

Year

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53-60

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References

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  • Chen F., Drezner Z., Ryan J.K., Simchi-Levi D. (2000a). Quantifying the bullwhip effect in a simple supply chain. Management Science 46(3). Pp. 436-443.
  • Chen F., Drezner Z., Ryan J.K., Simchi-Levi D. (2000b). The impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effect. Naval Research Logistics 47(4).Pp. 269-286.
  • Do N.A.D., Nielsen P., Michna Z., Nielsen I.E. (2014). Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect of Multi-echelon System with Stochastic Dependent Lead Time. Advances in Production Management Systems: Innovative and Knowledge-Based Production Management in a Global-Local World. Pp. 419-426.
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  • Lee H.L., Padmanabhan V., Whang S. (1997b). The bullwhip effect in supply chains. Sloan Management Review 38(3). Pp. 93-102.
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  • Michna Z., Nielsen P. (2013). The impact of lead time forecasting on the bullwhip effect. arXiv preprint arXiv:1309.7374.
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  • Nielsen P., Michna Z., Do N.A.D. (2014). An Empirical Investigation of Lead Time Distributions. Advances in Production Management Systems: Innovative and Knowledge-Based Production Management in a Global-Local World. Pp. 435- 442.

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Publication order reference

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bwmeta1.element.desklight-ff19c407-7a82-4094-aa11-966e8b2bd0dd
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