To the Abyss and Beyond

• Authors: Rusek, Antonin

Abstracts

EN

Abstract. Life cycle hypothesis and Solow neo-classical growth concepts are used to construct and estimate VAR models of USA’s GDP dynamics. Conditional forecasts are then made for those two variables for the next two years, using different assumptions regarding the future dynamics of the household’s net worth. Results show that under all assumptions the US GDP growth GDP remains sluggish. The historical peak GDP level (achieved in Q2 from 2008) is not achieved by the Ql of 2011.

Keywords

EN

Life Cycle Hypothesis; GDP growth; VAR models; conditional forecasts

• Publisher: Uniwersytet Łódzki. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Journal: Acta Universitatis Lodziensis. Folia Oeconomica
• Year: 2010
• Volume: 241

Dates

published

2010

Contributors

author

Rusek, Antonin

Identifiers

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/11089/438