Application of ARIMA Models for the Analysis of Utilization Process of Military Technical Objects

• Authors: Borucka Anna
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

The newest solutions in Polish Armed Forces are implemented gradually and focus mainly on soldiers’ combat readiness. Many concurrent processes occur, for which proper analysis and interpretation could constitute command process and task realization support; however poor and standing (paper) record seems to be an obstacle in their modelling. Therefore the author of the article tried to depict the process of military technical objects exploitation based on archived data according to present methods of documents preparation, circuit and record, applicable in Polish Armed Forces. Based on that, the method of research the readiness of aircraft ships from military air base, powered by ARIMA model, was proposed. Using empirical data of two years of exploitation, the identification of researched time series, and then a few models estimation was made. Finally, the best model was chosen and verified.

Keywords

EN

aircraft; forecasting; ARIMA models; military data analysis; data quality issue

• Publisher: Międzynarodowa Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki i Transportu
• Journal: Logistics and Transport
• Year: 2018
• Volume: 37
• Pages: 13-22

Contributors

author

Borucka Anna

• Wojskowa Akademia Techniczna w Warszawie