Peculiarities of Economics Recovery After Worldwide Economic Crisis in 2008–2009

• Authors: Aldona Juozapavičienė , Agnė Montvidaitė
• Languages of publication: EN

Abstracts

EN

Variation analysis of several main procyclic indicators (leading and coincident) was carried out in this article. The results of the analysis showed that the economies of Lithuania and the European Union are slowly recovering. The attempts of European countries to struggle against deep recession caused by the world economic crisis have led to a new - sovereign debt crisis. It manifested in increasing differences between government bond yields and premiums of Credit Default Swap (CDS) between PIIGS countries and other EU members, notably Germany. Accordingly to this, CDS was examined as the leading indicator of the economic cycle.During the period of the economic crisis, the government of Lithuania borrowed in international markets very expensively and the accumulated debt can become a heavy burden on the country's future economy. The situation of public finance in Lithuania was analyzed by adopting the mathematical model of Zamkov. The performed simulation showed that the debt of Lithuanian public sector will press the country for a long period of time.

Keywords

EN

Economic cycle indicators; Credit Default Swap (CDS); Sovereign debt crisis; public finance in Lithuania

• Publisher: Instytut Badań Gospodarczych
• Journal: Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
• Year: 2012
• Volume: 7
• Issue: 2

Dates

published

2012

online

2012-06-06

Contributors

author

Aldona Juozapavičienė

• Kaunas University of Technology K. Donelaicio St. 73, LT-44029 Kaunas, Lithuania
• Kaunas University of Technology K. Donelaicio St. 73, LT-44029 Kaunas, Lithuania

author

Agnė Montvidaitė

• Kaunas University of Technology K. Donelaicio St. 73, LT-44029 Kaunas, Lithuania
• Kaunas University of Technology K. Donelaicio St. 73, LT-44029 Kaunas, Lithuania

Identifiers

DOI

10.12775/EQUIL.2012.010