A Business-Cycle Model With Cash and Credit Goods and a Modified Cash-in-Advance Feature: Lessons for Bulgaria (1999–2020)

• Authors: Aleksandar Vasiliev

Title variants

PL

Model cyklu biznesowego z gotówką i towarami kredytowymi oraz zmodyfikowaną funkcją płatności zaliczkowej: przypadek Bułgarii (1999 -2020)

Abstracts

PL

Artykuł opisuje rozszerzenie standardowego modelu cyklu biznesowego uwzględniającego gotówkę i dobra kredytowe – analogicznie do podejścia Lucasa i Stokeya (1983, 1987) – oraz wprowadzającego zmodyfikowaną płatność zaliczkową (CIA). Ograniczenie zaliczki obejmuje przede wszystkim inwestycje prywatne i zakupy rządowe. Wymagania modelu sprawdzano dla danych zaobserwowanych dla Bułgarii w latach 1999-2020. Wprowadzone do modelu gotówka i dobra kredytowe pełnią funkcję pieniądza w uwydatnianiu wahań ekonomicznych. W szczególności te dwa rodzaje towarów i zmodyfikowane ograniczenie CIA tworzą zaawansowany mechanizm propagacji, z nowatorskimi transakcjami wymiany gospodarstw domowych. Model generuje konsumpcję o zbyt wysokiej zmienności i niecykliczne inwestycje, które są w poważnej sprzeczności z danymi. Ogólnie model uwzględniający gotówkę i dobra kredytowe oraz akumulację kapitału materialnego nie zapewnia dobrych ram do badania wahań cykli koniunkturalnych w Bułgarii.

EN

The paper augments the standard business cycle model with cash and credit goods following Lucas and Stokey (1983, 1987), together with a modified cash-in-advance (CIA) considerations. In particular, the cash-in-advance constraint was extended to include private investment and government purchases. This specification was then calibrated to Bulgaria during the 1999-2020 period. The presence of cash and credit goods give a role to money in accentuating economic fluctuations. In particular, the two types of goods and the modified CIA constraint produce a more sophisticated propagation mechanism, with novel trade-offs faced by households. The model generates too volatile consumption, and countercyclical investment, which are at serious odds with the data. Overall, the model with cash and credit goods, and physical capital accumulation, did not provide a good framework to study business cycle fluctuations in Bulgaria.

Keywords

EN

business cycles; cash and credit goods; modified cash-in-advance (CIA) constraint; Bulgaria

PL

cykle koniunkturalne; gotówka i dobra kredytowe; zmodyfikowane ograniczenie płatności zaliczkowej (CIA); Bułgaria

• Publisher: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
• Journal: Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics
• Year: 2022
• Volume: 26
• Issue: 1
• Pages: 1-13

Dates

published

2022

Contributors

author

Aleksandar Vasiliev

• University of Lincoln, Lincoln, United Kingdom

References

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Identifiers

DOI

10.15611/eada.2022.1.01

Biblioteka Nauki

2045978