Skutki ekonomiczne restrykcyjnego lockdownu jako strategii walki z pandemią

• Authors: Sergiusz Herman , Bartłomiej Lach

Title variants

EN

Economic Effects of Restrictive Lockdown as a Strategy to Fight the Pandemic

Abstracts

EN

COVID-19 pandemic has had a substantial impact on public health all over the world. In order to prevent the spread of COVID-19, the majority of countries introduced restrictions which resulted in enormous economic and social costs. The main goal of the article is to study the impact of the restrictive lockdown on the economic condition of the state. For this purpose, the synthetic control method was used. The analysis was carried out based on data from Eurostat and OECD. The obtained results allow us to conclude that the decision not to introduce a restrictive lockdown in Sweden saved the economy of this country against a significant deterioration of indicators related to the deficit and public debt. At the same time, such a government policy did not cause any significant changes in the economic development of the country. The results are resistant to the change of assumptions in the study.

PL

Pandemia COVID-19 ma ogromny wpływ na zdrowie publiczne na całym świecie. W celu ograniczenia rozwoju choroby w większości państw wprowadzono bardziej lub mniej restrykcyjne ograniczenia. Wiązały się one z ogromnymi kosztami ekonomicznymi oraz społecznymi. Zasadniczym celem artykułu jest zbadanie wpływu restrykcyjnego lockdownu na kondycję gospodarczą państwa. W tym celu w badaniu wykorzystano metodę syntetycznej kontroli. Analizę przeprowadzono z wykorzystaniem danych z baz Eurostat oraz OECD. Uzyskane wyniki pozwalają stwierdzić, iż decyzja o niewprowadzaniu restrykcyjnego lockdownu w Szwecji uchroniła gospodarkę tego kraju przed znaczącym pogorszeniem wskaźników związanych z deficytem i długiem publicznym. Jednocześnie taka polityka rządu nie spowodowała istotnych zmian w rozwoju gospodarczym kraju. Uzyskane wyniki są odporne na zmianę założeń przyjętych w badaniu. Słowa kluczowe: COVID-19, lockdown, metoda syntetycznej kontroli.

Keywords

PL

COVID-19; lockdown; metoda syntetycznej kontroli

EN

COVID-19; lockdown; synthetic control method

• Publisher: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
• Journal: Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
• Year: 2022
• Volume: 66
• Issue: 4
• Pages: 71-86

Dates

published

2022

Contributors

author

Sergiusz Herman

• Uniwerystet Ekonomiczny w Poznaniu

author

Bartłomiej Lach

• Analyx® sp. z o.o. sp. k.

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Identifiers

DOI

10.15611/pn.2022.4.05

Biblioteka Nauki

2158934