Full-text resources of CEJSH and other databases are now available in the new Library of Science.
Visit https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


2015 | 49 | 2 |

Article title

Perspektywy wzrostu handlu międzynarodowego

Content

Title variants

Languages of publication

PL

Abstracts

PL
Artykuł nie zawiera abstraktu w języku polskim.
EN
This paper investigates the perspectives of international trade growth. The main findings are: 1) over the coming half century, world trade is expected to outpace GDP growth; 2) the geographical center of trade will continue to shift towards emerging economies; 3) with certain exceptions, export structure does not change importantly.

Year

Volume

49

Issue

2

Physical description

Dates

published
2015
online
2015-07-28

Contributors

References

  • 1. Anderson K., Strutt A. (2014), Emerging economies, productivity growth and trade with resource-rich economies by 2030, „Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics”, Vol. 58, s. 1‒18.
  • 2. Benhabib J., Spiegel M.M. (2005), Human Capital and Technology Diffusion, [in:] P. Aghion, S. Durlauf (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, Vol. 1, s. 935‒966. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0684(05)01013-0
  • 3. Buiter W., Rahbari E. (2011), Trade Transformed. The Emerging New Corridors of Trade Power, „Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & Solutions”, 18 October 2011.
  • 4. Ernst&Young (2011), Trading Places. The emergence of new patterns of international trade.
  • 5. Feenstra R.C. (1988), Integration of Trade and Disintegration of Production in the Global Economy, „The Journal of Economic Perspectives”, Vol. 12, No. 4, Autumn 1998, s. 21‒50.
  • 6. Fontagné L., Fouré J., Keck A. (2014), Simulating World Trade in the Decades Ahead: Driving Forces and Policy Implications, „WTO Working Paper”, No. 5, April 2014.
  • 7. Fontagné L., Fouré J. (2013), Opening a Pandora’s Box: Modelling World Trade Patterns at the 2035 Horizon, „CEPII Working Paper”, No. 22, July 2013.
  • 8. Fontagné L., Fouré J., Ramos M.P. (2013), MIRAG-e: A General Equilibrium Long-term Path of the World Economy, „CEPII Working Paper”, No. 39, December 2013.
  • 9. Fouré J., Bénassy-Quéré A., Fontagné L. (2013), Modelling the world economy at the 2050 horizon, „Economics of Transition”, Vol. 21, No. 4, s. 617‒654.
  • 10. Fouré J., Bénassy-Quéré A., Fontagné L. (2012), The Great Shift: Macroeconomic projections for the world economy at the 2050 horizon, „CEPII Working Paper”, No. 3, February 2012.
  • 11. Helpman E. (1987), Imperfect Competition and International Trade: Evidence from Fourteen Industrial Countries, „Journal of the Japanese and International Economics”, Vol. 1, No. 1, March 1987, s. 62‒81. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(87)90016-x
  • 12. Hummels D., Levinsohn J.A. (1995), Monopolistic Competition and International Trade: Reconsidering the Evidence, „Quarterly Journal of Economics”, Vol. 110, No. 3, August 1995, s. 799‒836.
  • 13. Johansson A., Olaberria E. (2014), Long-term Patterns of Trade and Specialisation, „OECD Economics Department Working Papers”, No. 1136.
  • 14. Johnson H.G. (1959), Economic development and international trade, „Nationaløkonomisk Tidsskriff”, Vol. 97, s. 253‒272.
  • 15. Krugman P.R. (1995), Growing World Trade: Causes and Consequences, „Brookings Papers on Economic Activity”, No. 1, s. 327‒377.
  • 16. Mucha-Leszko B., Kąkol M. (2012), Polityka handlowa w warunkach Pax Americana i Pax Britannica, „Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, Sectio H Oeconomia”, vol. XLVI, nr 2, s. 153‒163.
  • 17. Mucha-Leszko B. (2012), Policentryzacja układu sił gospodarczych a multilateralna polityka handlowa, „Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska, Sectio H Oeconomia”, vol. XLVI, nr 2, s. 165‒174.
  • 18. Nelson R.E., Phelps E.S. (1996), Investment in Humans, Technological Diffusion, and Economic Growth, „American Economic Review”, Vol. 56, No. 1‒2, March 1966, s. 69‒75.
  • 19. Poncet S. (2006), The Long Term Growth Prospects of the World Economy: Horizon 2050, „CEPII Working Paper”, No. 16, October 2006.
  • 20. Ward K. (2012), The World in 2050. From the Top 30 to the Top 100, „HSBC Global Research”, January 2012.
  • 21. Wojtas M. (2008), Potencjalne korzyści z Rundy Doha dla krajów rozwiniętych i rozwijających się, „Annales Universitatis Mariae Curie-Skłodowska”, Sectio H Oeconomia”, vol. XLII, s. 219‒234.
  • 22. WTO, World Trade Report 2007. Six decades of multilateral trade cooperation. What have we learnt?
  • 23. WTO, World Trade Report 2013. Factors shaping the future of world trade.

Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.ojs-doi-10_17951_h_2015_49_2_51
JavaScript is turned off in your web browser. Turn it on to take full advantage of this site, then refresh the page.