Digitalization’s Effect on the Sectoral Structure Change in the Economy: a Comparative Analysis of Ukraine and Selected Countries

• Authors: Olha Pizhuk , Larysa Lazebnyk , Hanna Mamonova

Title variants

PL

Wpływ cyfryzacji na zmianę struktury sektorowej gospodarki: analiza porównawcza Ukrainy i wybranych krajów

Abstracts

PL

Artykuł analizuje wpływ transformacji cyfrowej na zmiany w strukturze sektorowej gospodarki Ukrainy, innych krajów postkomunistycznych oraz krajów o gospodarkach wysoko rozwiniętych. Po pierwsze, oszacowano wielkość zmian strukturalnych i różnice w modelu sektorowym według wartości dodanej brutto i sektorowego modelu zatrudnienia według kraju przy użyciu wskaźnika Riabcewa. Po drugie, opracowano prognozę zmian w strukturach sektorowych badanych gospodarek na lata 2021 i 2025 wykorzystując dyskretne procesy Markowa. Prognozy pozwoliły określić kierunek postępu społeczno‑gospodarczego krajów wysoko rozwiniętych i postkomunistycznych. Po trzecie, zakładając, że rozwój technologii ICT spowodował zidentyfikowane w wyniku oceny zmiany sektorowe, przeanalizowano dostępne oceny poziomu transformacji cyfrowej wybranych gospodarek i przedstawiono światowe trendy w ICT. Wreszcie, określono wpływ indeksu ICT na istotność zmian sektorowych w gospodarkach krajów postkomunistycznych oraz krajów o gospodarkach wysoko rozwiniętych. Wyniki badania pozwoliły na stwierdzenie, że rozwój technologii cyfrowych wpływa pośrednio na zmiany strukturalne gospodarki poprzez realokację zasobów pracy z jednego sektora do drugiego. Artykuł uzasadnia potrzebę doskonalenia modelu sektorowego gospodarki poprzez dodanie branż związanych wyłącznie z gospodarką cyfrową.

EN

This article examines the impact of digital transformation on changes in the sectoral structure of Ukraine’s economy, other post‑communist countries, and countries with highly developed economies. Firstly, we estimate the structural changes and differences in the sectoral model by gross value‑added and sectoral employment model by country using Ryabtsev’s index. Secondly, we calculated the forecast of changes in the researched economies' sectoral structures for 2021 and 2025 using discrete Markov processes. The forecasts made it possible to determine the direction of socio‑economic progress of highly developed and post‑communist countries. Thirdly, assuming that the development of ICT technologies caused the sectoral changes identified as a result of the assessment, we analyzed available level ratings of the digital transformation of the selected economies and named global trends in ICT. Finally, we determined the impact of the ICT index on the substantiality of sectoral changes in the economies of post‑communist countries and countries with highly developed economies. The study results allowed us to conclude that digital technology development affects the economy’s structural changes indirectly due to the reallocation of labor resources from one sector to another. The article substantiates the need to improve the economy’s sectoral model by adding industries related exclusively to the digital economy.

Keywords

PL

struktura sektorowa ekonomii; transformacja cyfrowa; łańcuchy Markowa; wartość dodana brutto; struktura sektorowa wdrożenia

EN

the sectoral structure of the economy; digital transformation; Markov chains; gross value added; the sectoral structure of employment

• Publisher: Uniwersytet Łódzki. Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Journal: Comparative Economic Research. Central and Eastern Europe
• Year: 2022
• Volume: 25
• Issue: 2
• Pages: 21-43

Dates

published

2022

Contributors

author

Olha Pizhuk

• Doctor of Econ. Sci., Associate Professor of the Department of Enterprise’s Economy, State Tax University, Irpin', Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000000258021053

author

Larysa Lazebnyk

• Doctor of Econ. Sci., Associate Professor of the Department of Enterprise’s Economy, State Tax University, Irpin', Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000000322344093

author

Hanna Mamonova

• Ph.D. (Physics and Math), Associate Professor of the Department of Computer Mathematics and Information Security, National Economic University named after V. Hetman, Kyiv, Ukraine

• https://orcid.org/0000000158472076

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Identifiers

DOI

10.18778/1508-2008.25.11

Biblioteka Nauki

2083053