Towards a target employment rate within age and gender groups

• Authors: Stanisław Jaworski , Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska

Abstracts

EN

Quarterly employment rates in European countries are analysed in terms of the likelihood of achieving a specific employment rate within age and gender groups in a five-year horizon. The German employment rate serves as a benchmark for this research. The likelihood is estimated by a Monte-Carlo simulation based on the class of exponential smoothing models. The research presents a pessimistic prognosis of employment rates in European countries with respect to young and partly to older workers.

Keywords

EN

employment rate; exponential smoothing; forecasting; state space approach

• Publisher: Główny Urząd Statystyczny
• Journal: Statistics in Transition new series
• Year: 2021
• Volume: 22
• Issue: 4
• Pages: 213-225

Contributors

author

Stanisław Jaworski

• Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000000261692886

author

Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska

• Department of Mathematics, Siedlce University of Natural Sciences and Humanities, Poland

• https://orcid.org/000000018845758X

Identifiers

DOI

10.21307/stattrans-2021-046

Biblioteka Nauki

1917017