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2022 | 69 | 4 | 41-60

Article title

Comparison of the accuracy of forecasts based on neural networks before and after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic on the example of selected exchange rates

Authors

Content

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Abstracts

EN
This article examines the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the accuracy of forecasts for three currency pairs before and after its outbreak based on neural networks (ELM, MLP and LSTM) in terms of three factors: the forecast horizon, hyper parameterisation and network type.

Year

Volume

69

Issue

4

Pages

41-60

Physical description

Dates

published
2022

Contributors

  • Poznań University of Economics and Business, Applied Mathematics Department

References

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  • Cullen, W., Gulati, G., & Kelly, B. D. (2020). Mental health in the COVID-19 pandemic. QJM: An International Journal of Medicine, 113(5), 311–312. https://doi.org/10.1093/qjmed/hcaa110.
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  • Das, A. K., Mishra, D., & Das, K. (2021). Currency Exchange Prediction for Financial Stock Market: An Extensive Survey. In P. K. Mallick, A. K. Bhoi, G. Marques & V. H. C. de Albuquerque (Eds.), Cognitive Informatics and Soft Computing (pp. 697–709). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-1056-1_54.
  • Gunay, S. (2021). Comparing COVID-19 with the GFC: A shockwave analysis of currency markets. Research in International Business and Finance, 56, 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101377.
  • Hochreiter, S., & Schmidhuber, J. (1997). Long short-term memory. Neural Computation, 9(8), 1735–1780. https://doi.org/10.1162/neco.1997.9.8.1735.
  • Van Houdt, G., Mosquera, C., & Nápoles, G. (2020). A review on the long short-term memory model. Artificial Intelligence Review, 53(8), 5929–5955. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10462-020-09838-1.
  • Jastrzębski, M., Kabziński, J., Wasiak, G., & Zawiślak, R. (2015). Ocena efektywności techniki Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) do modelowania dwuwymiarowych nieliniowości w układach napędowych. Prace Naukowe Instytutu Maszyn, Napędów i Pomiarów Elektrycznych Politechniki Wrocławskiej. Studia i Materiały, 71(35), 83–94.
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  • Raifu, I. A., Kumeka, T. T., & Aminu, A. (2021). Reaction of stock market returns to COVID-19 pandemic and lockdown policy: evidence from Nigerian firms stock returns. Future Business Journal, 7(1), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-021-00080-x.
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Document Type

Publication order reference

Identifiers

Biblioteka Nauki
2204347

YADDA identifier

bwmeta1.element.ojs-doi-10_59139_ps_2022_04_4
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