The Impact of External Factors on Stock Return Volatility in the European Banking Sector

• Authors: Katarzyna Niewińska

Title variants

PL

Wpływ determinant na zmienność stóp zwrotów z akcji w sektorze bankowym w Europie

Abstracts

PL

Cel: zbadanie wpływu zewnętrznych determinant na zmienność zwrotu z akcji banków w celu oceny jej pod kątem kapitalizacji giełdowej. Projekt/metodyka/podejście: badanie przeprowadzone zostało na 182 bankach z 26 krajów. Wybrano do badania próbę, która obejmuje wszystkie banki europejskie notowane na giełdzie. Wykorzystano dane kwartalne z okresu 2004–2016, które był zbierane i kompilowane przez okres 2 lat. Zastosowaną metodą badawczą był panelowy model danych z efektami stałymi (z lub bez solidnego estymatora) oraz efektami losowymi. Wyniki: determinantami, które mają istotny i statystycznie istotny wpływ na analizowane zmienne zależne, są: stopa bezrobocia, realna stopa procentowa, beta w modelu jednowskaźnikowym Sharpe’a oraz implikowana zmienność indeksu S&P 500 i EURO STOXX 50. Ograniczenia/implikacje badawcze: głównym ograniczeniem badania jest analiza tylko sektora bankowego. Oryginalność/wartość: spostrzeżenia na temat siły i kierunku wpływu tych zmiennych na zmienność stóp zwrotu z akcji są cennym uzupełnieniem dotychczasowej wiedzy, z której korzystają inwestorzy, podejmując decyzje dotyczące rynku kapitałowego.

EN

Purpose: The main aim of the paper is to examine the impact of external determinants on the banking stock return volatility to evaluate it in terms of the stock market capitalization. Design/methodology/approach: The research was conducted on 182 banks from 26 countries. The sample selected for the study includes all European banks listed on the stock exchange. Quarterly data from the period between 2004 and 2016 was used; it was collected and compiled over a period of 2 years. The research method applied was the panel data model with fixed effects (with or without a robust estimator) and random effects. Findings: Determinants that have a major and statistically significant impact on the analyzed dependent variables are: the unemployment rate, the real interest rate, the beta in Sharpe’s Single-Index Model and the implied volatility of the S&P 500 index and the EURO STOXX50 index. Research limitations/implications: Insights about the strength and direction of influence of these variables on stock return volatility are a valuable addition to the existing body of knowledge that investors resort to when making decisions relating to the capital market. Limitations: The main limitation of this study lies in the fact that the results of the analysis apply solely to the banking sector. Originality/value: Insights about the strength and direction of influence of these variables on stock return volatility are a valuable addition to the existing body of knowledge that investors resort to when making decisions relating to the capital market.

Keywords

EN

stock return volatility; banking; implied volatility

PL

zmienność stop zwrotu z akcji; bankowość; zmienność implikowana

• Publisher: Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydział Nauk Ekonomicznych
• Journal: Problemy Zarządzania
• Year: 2021
• Volume: 19
• Issue: 4/2021 (94)
• Pages: 185-199

Dates

published

2021

Contributors

author

Katarzyna Niewińska

• Faculty of Management, University of Warsaw, Poland

• https://orcid.org/0000000265033458

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Identifiers

DOI

10.7172/1644-9584.94.10

Biblioteka Nauki

2085928