Energy Security of Ukraine: External Threats From the Russian Federation

• Authors: Valeriia Lymar

Abstracts

FR

La sécurité énergétique d’un pays est une composante importante de sa sécurité nationale globale, car l’approvisionnement en énergie est essentiel au fonctionnement de son économie nationale et aux moyens de subsistance de sa population. L’objectif de cette recherche est de développer des outils pratiques pour analyser la situation du secteur énergétique ukrainien et de fournir des recommandations pratiques pour le développement potentiel et l’intégration dans le système énergétique européen unique. La valeur pratique des résultats de la recherche est que l’analyse SWOT (Strengths – Weakness – Opportunities – Troubles) du secteur énergétique de l’Ukraine permet d’identifier les problèmes les plus aigus et les menaces qui ont un impact négatif sur le secteur énergétique de l’Ukraine et son intégration dans le système énergétique européen commun. Sur la base des résultats de l’analyse SWOT, trois scénarios potentiels de développement du secteur énergétique ukrainien sont proposés : un scénario “sans changement” (maintien des tendances et de la situation actuelles) ; un scénario “influence inamicale” (pas de changements systémiques dans la politique énergétique combinés à l’escalade de l’agression par la Fédération de Russie) ; et un scénario “transformation positive” (efforts ciblés visant à atteindre les objectifs fixés dans cette stratégie). L’article propose les moyens suivants pour assurer la substitution des importations d’énergie pour l’Ukraine : développement des énergies renouvelables ; développement de l’efficacité énergétique ; développement de sa propre industrie pétrolière et gazière ; développement de sources d’énergie alternatives ; diversification des sources d’importation d’énergie ; développement de l’infrastructure énergétique; développement de l’autosuffisance énergétique dans ses différentes régions.

EN

A country’s energy security is an important component of its overall national security, as energy supply is essential for the functioning of its national economy and the livelihoods of its population. The purpose of this research is to develop practical tools for analyzing the condition of Ukraine’s energy sector, and to provide practical recommendations for potential development and integration into the single European energy system. The practical value of the research findings is that the SWOT-analysis (Strengths – Weakness – Opportunities – Troubles) of the energy sector of Ukraine which makes it possible to identify the most acute problems and threats that have a negative impact on the energy sector of Ukraine and its integration into the European common energy system. Based on the results of the conducted SWOT-analysis, three potential scenarios for the development of Ukraine’s energy sector are proposed: a “no change” scenario (preservation of current trends and state of affairs); an “unfriendly influence” scenario (no systemic changes in energy policy combined with the escalation of aggression by the Russian Federation); and a “positive transformation” scenario (targeted efforts aimed at achieving the goals set out in this Strategy). The paper suggests the following possible ways of ensuring energy import substitution for Ukraine: development of renewable energy; development of energy efficiency; development of its own oil and gas industry; development of alternative energy sources; diversification of energy import sources; development of energy infrastructure; developing energy self-sufficiency in its individual regions.

Keywords

EN

foreign policy; military aggression; energy security; energy complex; traditional energy resources; decarbonization; synchronization of legislation; single energy market

• Publisher: Uniwersytet Warszawski. Wydawnictwo Naukowe Wydziału Zarządzania
• Journal: Yearbook of Antitrust and Regulatory Studies
• Year: 2023
• Volume: 16
• Issue: 28
• Pages: 31-53

Dates

published

2023

Contributors

author

Valeriia Lymar

• Vasyl’ Stus Donetsk National University

• https://orcid.org/0000000243287529

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Identifiers

DOI

10.7172/1689-9024.YARS.2023.16.28.2

Biblioteka Nauki

43467351