Cyclic temperature and precipitation fluctuations in Poland in the 19th-21st centuries

• Authors: Jerzy Boryczka , Maria Stopa-Boryczka

Abstracts

EN

The objective of the work is to determine the periodicity and trends of change in air temperature and precipitation in Poland in the time period of the 18th-20th centuries, together with the forecast for the 21st century. There are interesting diagrams of the temporal changes of solar activity and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) indicator, with the forecast reaching the year 2100. The forecasts were obtained on the basis of interpretations of the Wolf number and NAO indicator cycles, determined with the method of ”regression sinusoids”. The fluctuations of the air temperature and precipitations during w inter in Warsaw and in Cracow are closely correlated.

Keywords

EN

air tem perature; precipitations; NAO; spectra; periods; tendency; solar activity; forecast

• Publisher: Wydział Geografii i Studiów Regionalnych Uniwersytetu Warszawskiego
• Journal: Miscellanea Geographica. Regional Studies on Development
• Year: 2006
• Volume: 12
• Pages: 43-53

Dates

published

2006

Contributors

author

Jerzy Boryczka

• Department of Climatology

author

Maria Stopa-Boryczka

• Department of Climatology

translator

Dorota Szmajda

References

• B o r y c z k a J., 1998, Zmiany klimatu Ziemi [Changes in the E a rth 's Climate, in Polish], Wyd. Akademickie „Dialog”, Warszawa.
• B o r y c z k a J., S t o p a - B o r y c z k a M., K i c i ń s k a B., Ż m u d z k a E., 1992, Atlas współzależności parametrów meteorologicznych i geograficznych w Polsce, Zmiany wiekowe klimatu Polski [Atlas of Interrelation ships Between Meteorological and Geographical Parameters in Poland. Age Changes in Poland's Climate, in Polish], Part VII, Warszawa.
• B o r y c z k a J., S t o p a - B o r y c z k a M., B ł a ż e k E., S k r z y p c z u k J, 1999, Atlas współzależności parametrów meteorologicznych i geograficznych w Polsce, Cykliczne zmiany klimatu miast w Europie [Atlas of In terrelation ships Between Meteorological and Geographical Parameters in Poland. Cyclic Climate Changes in European Cities, Part XIII, Warszawa.
• J o n e s P. D., J o n s s o n T., W h e e l e r D., 1997, Extension to the North Atlantic Oscillation usin gearly instrumental pressure observations from Gibraltar and South-West Iceland, Int. J. Climatol., 17, pp. 1433-1450.
• K o n d r a t i e w K. J., N i k o l s k i i G. A., 1970, Solar radiation and solar activity, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., No. 96.
• K o ż u c h o w s k i K . , B o r y c z k a J., 1997, Cykliczne wahania i trendy czasowe zmian poziomu morza w Świnoujściu (1811-1990) [Cyclic Fluctuations and Time Trends of th e Sea Level Changes in Świnoujście, in Polish], Przegl. Geofiz., XLII, 1.
• M a l c h e r J., S c h ó n w i e s e CH. D., 1987, Homogeneity, spatial correlation and spectra variance analysis of long European and North American air temperature records, Theor. Appl. Climat., 38.
• M a r s z A. A., (ed.), 1999, Wpływ stan u termicznego powierzchni oceanu na modyfikacje cyrkulacji atmosferycznej w wymiarze klimatologicznym [The Impact of the Thermal Condition of th e Ocean Surface on the Climatological Modifications of Atmospheric Circulation, in Polish], Conference Proceedings, Gdynia 6.V. 1999.

Identifiers

Biblioteka Nauki

2032472