The study is dedicated to the most important trends confirmed by current knowledge in theSIPRI Yearbook 2017. SIPRI annually issues a study which shows a comprehensive picture ofthe activity of international actors in terms of world military expenditure, international armstransfers, arms production, nuclear forces, armed conflicts and multilateral peace operations, aswell as the promotion of security and development.
This paper combines a review of the strategic security of European countries in 2017, and the creation – on the basis of the international scenario method – of short-, medium- and longterm forecasts. The authors address both the nature of armed conflicts (including the so-called ‘frozen conflicts’) and the escalation of terrorist acts. Also, the issue of the immigration crisis has been highlighted as causing both the rise of radical public sentiments and being a ‘source’ of the smuggling of people (including terrorists) and goods (including weapons which are later used in attacks).
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