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Badanie koniunktury w handlu detalicznym

100%

Jerczyńska M.

Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH

2002

vol. 72

51-60

Business tendency surveys in retail trade have been conducted sińce 1993 and based on monthly sample enąuiry of 2000 firms. Basic indicators of the condition of the market show a decrease sińce 1999. However, the first signs of stabilisation can be dated in the second quarter of 2002. The same deteriorating tendency in retail trade has been experienced in most European countries in the period 2000-2002. However, in the other candidate countries there was an increase in retail trade during the same period.

Możliwości diagnozy i prognozy koniunktury w handlu detalicznym

63%

Ciok A., Jerczyńska M.

Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH

1999

vol. 63

35-46

Economic sentiment indicator in retailing summarizing the goods and finances turnover, indicates the permanent growth during the last five years. It may be treated mainly as a result of the increased number of the large trade units. The corresponding changes in indicator values (for example sales) do not affect inner consistency of business survey of Polish retail trade. By this consistency we understand concordance of assessments of actual situation ex post with forecasts, both provided by the suwy. The forecast range turned out only 1 month although the suwy questionnaire demands the 3 month forecasts. There are significant agreement of these forecasts with respective quantitative indices published by the Central Statistical Office.

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2 Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH

1 2002

1 1999

2 Jerczyńska M.

1 Ciok A.

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Badanie koniunktury w handlu detalicznym

Możliwości diagnozy i prognozy koniunktury w handlu detalicznym