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  1. 1 Ekonomia. Rynek, Gospodarka, Społeczeństwo

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  1. 1 Zalewski K.

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  1. 1 2009

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FORECASTING TURNING POINTS WITH COMPOSITE LEADING INDICATORS -THE CASE OF POLAND

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Zalewski K.
Ekonomia. Rynek, Gospodarka, Społeczeństwo
|
2009
|
issue 24
61-93
EN
This paper concerns the problem of short-term forecasting of economic activity. With the use of Composite Leading Indicators the business cycles of Polish economy are forecasted for 1992-2007 and confronted with real data. Results of Composite Leading Indicator analysis conducted for the end of 2007 suggest possible downturn phase at the beginning of 2008.
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