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EN
The cohort model of the pension scheme is applied to analyse the impact of labour market segmentation on expected retirement benefits in Poland. The effects of policy instruments aimed at increasing the stream of contributions paid by workers with contracts of mandate are evaluated. It has been found that the expected retirement benefit in the segment of contracts of mandate is lower by 17% than in the segment of employment contracts. The obligation to pay contributions on all contracts of mandate from the minimum wage level will enable closing the pension gap by approx. 4.4 pp unless the obligation increases unemployment risk in the segment of contracts of mandate. Additional saving of 2% of the gross wage during spells of work on contract of mandate reduces the gap by less than 1 pp.
PL
W artykule wykorzystano kohortowy model systemu emerytalnego do ilościowej analizy wpływu rozpowszechnienia umów cywilnoprawnych na wysokość oczekiwanych emerytur w Polsce. Ponadto, zostały poddane ocenie rozwiązania zwiększające strumień składek płaconych przez pracujących na umowach cywilnoprawnych. W porównaniu do segmentu umów o pracę, oczekiwana emerytura jest niższa w segmencie umów cywilnoprawnych o 17%. Obowiązek odprowadzania składek od umów zlecenia od wysokości minimalnego wynagrodzenia pozwoli na domknięcie ok. 4,4 pp. luki emerytur między segmentami, o ile nie podniesie ryzyka bezrobocia w segmencie umów cywilnoprawnych. Dodatkowe oszczędzanie w trzecim filarze 2% płacy brutto w trakcie pracy na umowy zlecenia obniża lukę między segmentami o mniej niż 1 pp.
EN
In this paper we analyse the changes in task content of jobs in Poland between 1996 and 2014. We follow the approach of Autor, Levy and Murnane (2003) and Acemoglu and Autor (2011) and use the O*NET 2003 and 2014 data combined with the Polish LFS data at a 4-digit occupation classification. We find an increasing intensity of both non-routine and routine cognitive tasks, and a decreasing intensity of both routine and non-routine manual tasks, mainly due to shifts in the employment structure between occupations. Cohorts born after 1970 underwent large shifts in the task intensity structure and contributed most to the overall changes in task contents, while almost no adjustments occurred in cohorts born before 1970. The growth of non-routine cognitive tasks among workers born after the 1970 was largely driven by the tertiary education boom in Poland, although in some cohorts the rising supply of tertiary graduates was accompanied by a relative reduction of the non-routine content of jobs.
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