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Ocena sytuacji przedsiębiorstw budowlanych na podstawie wyników testów koniunktury prowadzonych przez GUS

100%
Walkowska K.
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
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1999
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vol. 63
25-34
EN
Business tendency survey of constructing enterprises has been conducted by Central Statistical Office since July 1993. The sample contains 3,5 thousand of public and private enterprises employing morę than 5 persons. Every month enterprises respond the questionnaire conceming - among others — present and futurę economic situation, order books, value of production and financial situation of the enterprise. This year there was a bi-yearly investment survey added. Both surveys are harmonised with the joint harmonised EU programme of business and consumer surveys. At the beginning of the paper the evaluation of the survey is done based on the comparison of quantitative and qualitative data. Time series were seasonally adjusted with XII Arima method. The results of the correlations between diagnostic and prognostic qualitative data as well as correlations between qualitative and quantitative data for totals are presented in the tables below. In most of cases the results of the correlations madę for raw data are a little better than for data seasonally adjusted. It could be caused by the high seasonality of data for construction. It was also checked that the results of the correlation are better for prognostic data not lagged or lagged one month only than for data lagged two or three months although prognostic questions concern the futurę three months. It indicates that it is easier for respondents to make a prognosis for a closer future than it is asked in the questionnaire. The results presented above allow us to use business survey results as a good assessment of the economic situation of the Polish constructing enterprises. The trends of the present order books and forecasted production are compared on Graph No 1. They show the rapid improvement of the business tendency till 1997 and its rolling adjustment in the following years. Similar tendencies are noted for other variables for totals as well as for enterprises divided according to the sector of ownership or number of employees. In the First years of conducting the survey the situation of public enterprises was better than of private ones. Since the present year the better position of private enterprises could be seen. It might prove the greater ability of private enterprises to adapt to changes of economic situation. The results of the survey conducted by the Central Statistical Office confirm the tendencies observed in the recent years — the improvement of the situation till its stabilisation in 1997 and then the broke of the pace of the increase since 1998. At the same time, since 1998, the slow down of the increase of prices has been observed.
2
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Badanie kondycji polskiego budownictwa na podstawie wyników badania koniunktury prowadzonego przez Główny Urząd Statystyczny

100%
Walkowska K.
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
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2002
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vol. 72
107-119
EN
Business tendency survey of constructing enterprises bas been conducted by Central Statistical Office since July 1993. The sample contains 3.5 thousand of public and private enterprises employing morę than 9 persons. Every month enterprises respond the ąuestionnaire concerning - among others - present and futurę economic situation, order books, value of production and financiai situation of the enterprise. There is also a bi-yearly iiwestment survey that was introduced in 1999. Both surveys are to be fully harmonised with the joint harmonised EU programme of business and consumer surveys sińce January 2003. They are partly financed from the funds of the European Commission according to the grant agreement signed in 2002. The results of the monthly survey are presented as a trend extracted with the use of the X11 Arima method. The results of the business tendency survey in constructing industry show the improvement of the business tendency till 1997 and its later stabilisation. In 1998 the broke of the pace of the increase was started followed by the regression of the business tendency. Since the beginning of 2002 the pessimism of the enterprises is less significant. Similar tendencies are noted for chosen variables for totals as well as for enterprises divided according to the sector of ownership or number of employees although the public enterprises are morę optimistic than private ones as well as the greatest enterprises (with 250 and morę employees) are morę optimistic than the smaller ones (with less than 250 employees).
3
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The Assessment of the Irvestment Activity of Enterprises Based on the Business Tendency Surveys

51%
Sękowska H., Święcka M., Walkowska K., Zagoździńska I.
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
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2004
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vol. 75
159-170
4
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The impact of phrasing of selected questions on the results of the business tendency surveys conducted by the Central Statistical Office of Poland

51%
Gaca O., Sękowska H., Święcka M., Walkowska K.
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
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2015
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vol. 97: Economic cycles and uncertainty
45-66
EN
Precise wording of qualitative questions poses substantial problem because frequently even small lack of accuracy or inappropriate word used in a question may bias surveys’ results. We analyze an impact of the wording on results of the qualitative business tendency surveys conducted by CSO of Poland. The relationship between the way survey questions are formulated and obtained replies is pointed out, e.g. the influence of adding explanatory notes and taking into account a kind of activity respondents perform.
5
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Bariery działalności przedsiębiorstw w Polsce w świetle badań koniunktury gospodarczej prowadzonych przez GUS

51%
Oryńczak J., Święcka M., Walkowska K., Zagoździńska I.
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
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2008
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vol. 80
181-197
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