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EN
It is sometimes difficult to estimate the impact of Poland’s accession to the EU on individual aspects of the economy’s functioning in the micro- and macroeconomic scale. Undoubtedly though, the membership in the EU and related adjustments in the political, legal and economic spheres have created a favourable climate for activating the internal potential of the Polish economy and business circles, which has resulted in a tangible progress in the process of Poland’s catching up with better developed EU states. In the years 2003–2013, the cumulated GDP growth in Poland stood at 44.5 percent, which made one of the best results among the new EU Member States from Central and Eastern Europe. The article focuses on microeconomic issues and contributes to the attempts to define Poland’s achievements in this area since 2004, as well as its lost opportunities to strengthen the economy’s competitiveness and basis for long-term development.
EN
The objective of the article is to evaluate the macroeconomic situation of Poland as forecast for the years 2015-2017, as well as to attempt to identify the most important conditions for further growth of our economy, especially opportunities to accelerate the development dynamics to such an extent that allows for avoiding the middle income trap. The fact that the gross domestic product (GDP) will in the coming years stay at a moderate level (no more than 3.8 per cent) may indicate that the factors that provided for the GDP growth in Poland to date are being exhausted. In this situation, the further development of the country and the opportunity to avoid the risk of development drift depend on departing from the economic model developed after 1989 to the model of economy based, to a large extent, on knowledge and innovations.
EN
The balancing of public finance and turning the tendency for public debt growth may be more difficult in Poland than in well-developed European Union member states, although the indicators of public finance sector deficit and public debt in relation to GDP are much higher there than in Poland. Measures taken in this area in Poland are less effective due to the slowdown of the Polish economy growth that – despite the improvement in 2013 – in the coming years will remain lower, in comparison to the GDP level of the period preceding the world financial crisis. It creates unfavourable macroeconomic conditions for the reconstruction of the public finance sector. The article attempts to answer the question whether – in the light of the public debt growth in Poland, whose indicator in 2013, according to Eurostat forecasts, should reach 58.2 per cent of GDP, and with difficulties in the state finance reform process – the stability of this sector is sufficiently ensured.
EN
The article describes the reasons for the indebtedness crisis in the European Union, as well as the factors due to which its consequences did not significantly influence Poland at the beginning of 2012. The author discusses the activities initiated by the Eurozone States and the whole EU, directed at the fight against the economic slump and recession, as a result of which the EU has been gradually changing the procedure for taking decisions related to economic matters and, in a broader context, its institutional structure. The article attempts to assess these changes from the perspective of long term interests of Poland.
EN
The subject of the document is the analysis of tourist-cultural potential of Żnin City and County carried out by Paweł Wieczorek with the use of the method for assessment of microregions potential, published in the monograph by Mikos von Rohrscheidt A. “Cultural Tourism. Phenomenon, potential, perspectives” [Gniezno 2008]. Apart from a short description of the destination and the data on the research procedures, the compilation includes the full valorization form completed on the basis of the carried-out assessment, well as the list of conclusions and suggestions referring to the increase of the potential and cultural tourism organization. The last element of the report is the descriptive material based on the analysis results which present the area as a destination of different forms of cultural tourism.
EN
Many economists claim that the Polish economy is in the phase of development drifting, which is a result of structural problems that have appeared. These problems hinder the implementation of the development model that is present in highly developed countries, based on the use of knowledge, innovations and advanced technologies as the foundation of economic growth and international competitiveness of entrepreneurs. This leads to preservation of our economy structure – not adjusted to the requirements of strong competition on the globalised markets – and its mechanisms that fail in the area of knowledge and innovation creation. The article aims to assess the macroeconomic situation of Poland in 2016, and it attempts to indicate the most important challenges that determine the development prospects of the country, and the directions of activities necessary to overcome development drifting.
EN
The discovery of shale gas deposits may turn out to be a crucial factor for the energy market and power industry in Poland. Still, the potential of Polish shale gas cannot be used for improving the country’s energy security or for stimulating economic growth without complex and costly investments. These comprise: liberalisation of the internal gas market so that it is based on the principle of competition, modernisation and extension of the gas infrastructure, including creation of opportunities for export of gas, as well as large investments in gas-based energy.
EN
The article attempts to define what Poland has achieved to date in the political arena of the European Union, as well as the challenges that the country will have to face in relation to the new institutional and legal structure of the Union that is being formed. The advantageous position in the EU, which our country has managed to achieved over the first years after the accession, has not been given for good, especially that the Union is now undergoing structural changes whose impact on the shape of the integration, especially in the EU’s cohesiveness, is at this point difficult to define clearly. Consequently, the European Union in the form that is being established now, soon will not be the same as the Union that Poland joined in 2004. This may, at least partially, ruin the effects of Poland’s efforts to be in the Union’s decision-making centre. The future position of Warsaw in the EU will depend on how long, and to what extent, the key states of the Eurozone will consider our country an important element of Europe’s political scene. And it depends, to a large extent, on our readiness to join the efforts related to the reconstruction of the institutional infrastructure of the integration (the banking union) and, first of all, on the perspective of Poland’s joining the Eurozone.
EN
Hard coal has been for years considered the key factor of Poland’s energy safety. Such a perspective has been adopted in all consecutive governmental documents that set out the energy policy of the state, with the assumption that in Poland there are no conditions to quickly develop a low-emission economy which would be able to operate without coal. A significant challenge for Poland is the contrast between the importance of coal in the state’s power sector and the UE’s plans with regard to the climate policy, directed towards low-emission technologies and towards decarbonisation of the energy market. The article aims at defining the long-term role of hard coal as an element of Poland’s energy safety, and simultaneously at presenting the respective market, economic and financial, as well as legal and technological situation in the area.
EN
In the situation of the COVID-19 pandemic, many principles have been questioned that previously provided the basis for the world’s economy, including the rule of locating production mainly in the so called low-cost countries, i.e. countries where labour costs are lower than in western states. Due to this long-lasting trend – which reflects the globalisation process and which is clearly visible in the economic policy of the western states – an important position of the countries of the Eastern and South-Eastern Asia, especially China, has been displayed. Following an intense inflow of foreign direct investments, as well as the accession to the World Trade Organisation in 2001, China has strengthened its economic position, and it soon started being referred to as “the world’s factory”. It is an accurate term, as nowadays one can hardly find a product that would not contain a Chinese added value, such as natural resources, materials, or sub-assemblies. However, the global supply chains established in this way, with a dominating position of China, have become less and less flexible, and more sensitive to disruptions on the international market – while alternative production and trade connections with providers from outside Asia have simultaneously become less and less important. Adverse consequences of stiff supply chains on ensuring stable operations of the economy in all its areas – from the global level to local businesses – have become evident after the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. The article presents these processes and provides potential scenarios for the development of the world’s trade.
PL
W początkowym okresie pandemii sformułowano prognozy rozwoju sytuacji w światowym handlu towarowym na lata 2020–2021. Wskazywano na spodziewany głęboki spadek wymiany międzynarodowej, nasilenie protekcjonizmu handlowego w państwach, które dotkliwie odczuły skutki COVID-19, jak również na potrzebę podjęcia działań wzmacniających niezawodność światowych łańcuchów dostaw. W konsekwencji miało to prowadzić do osłabienia pozycji Chin i innych państw azjatyckich. Artykuł weryfikuje te tezy, w tym również w odniesieniu do Polski i jej miejsca w wymianie międzynarodowej.
EN
The COVID-19 pandemic proved to be a test for entrepreneurs as for their ability to act in unfavourable market conditions – in some sectors services had to be temporarily closed, there were disturbances in supply chains for final and cooperative products, they experienced problems with liquidity and payment backlogs. They had to operate in the reality of restrictions related to social distance, uncertainties stemming from the risk of new waves of the disease, and with unclear prospects on how the economy would be reconstructed after the pandemic. Many companies, including small and medium-sized ones, decided that, in order to go through difficult times, they sho uld get involved – considering their financial, organisational, technical and personnel capacity – in the process of technological transformation of the food processing in dustry. The long-term targeted outcome of this process is to disseminate the fourth generation industry – 4.0, which denotes digitalisation of companies, digitalisation of data needed in business, as well as automation of the production cycle. Activities in this area make one of the most important development trends in the global economy of the 21st century.
PL
Pandemia COVID-19 stała się dla przedsiębiorców testem działania w bardzo niekorzystnych warunkach rynkowych – dochodziło do czasowego zamykania niektórych branż usługowych, zaburzeń w łańcuchach dostaw wyrobów finalnych i kooperacyjnych, problemów z płynnością i zatorów płatniczych, przy ograniczeniach związanych z dystansem społecznym, niepewnością wywołaną ryzykiem pojawienia się kolejnych fal zachorowań oraz niejasnych perspektywach odbudowy gospodarki w okresie pocovidowym. Wiele firm, w tym małych i średnich, uznało, że w przetrwaniu trudnych czasów pomoże włączenie się – na miarę możliwości finansowych, organizacyjnych, technicznych i kadrowych – w proces transformacji technologicznej przemysłu przetwórczego. Jego długookresowym, docelowym efektem będzie upowszechnienie standardów przemysłu czwartej generacji – 4.0, oznaczających cyfryzację firm, digitalizację danych niezbędnych w działalności gospodarczej, jak również automatyzację cyklu wytwórczego. Działania w tym obszarze stanowią jeden z najważniejszych trendów rozwojowych w gospodarce światowej w XXI wieku.
EN
Foreign capital companies play a significant role in the economy, as they have an impact on the growth of investments, export and employment. They are also a source of technical and organisational progress. Simultaneously, we must remember that an inflow of foreign direct investments equals the country’s increasing indebtedness, which in certain conditions may disturb the external microeconomic balance. The aim of the article is to present the role of foreign direct investments in the development of the Polish economy in the years 2015–2018.
PL
Firmy z udziałem kapitału obcego odgrywają ważną rolę w gospodarce, mają wpływ na wzrost inwestycji, eksportu oraz zatrudnienia. Są także nośnikiem postępu technicznego i organizacyjnego. Zarazem trzeba pamiętać, że napływ bezpośrednich inwestycji zagranicznych (BIZ) jest równoznaczny z zadłużaniem się kraju, co w określonych warunkach grozi naruszeniem zewnętrznej równowagi makroekonomicznej. Celem artykułu jest przedstawienie roli BIZ w procesie rozwoju polskiej gospodarki w latach 2015–2018.
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