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Zmiany współczynników reprodukcji ludności w województwie wielkopolskim w latach 2000–2009

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Chromińska M.

Prace i Materiały Wydziału Zarządzania Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego

2011

vol. 2

issue 3

41-68

The aim of this paper is to identify: - size, change and diversity of population reproduction rates in the Wielkopolska province by subregions and place of residence, - trends in fertility rates, gross reproduction and demographic dynamics of the region in terms of living environment. Time range of the elaboration covers the 2000 - 2009 period for province, and 2002 - 2009 for subregions. A source of information was the Regional Data Bank for the years 2000 2009 contained on the website of the Central Statistical Office. To describe the dynamics of the phenomenon studied, the indices of dynamics was used, and to describe the trends of examined rates - models with different analytical form. Results of the study showed a reduction of total fertility of women in the years 2001 - 2004 both in the city and in the countryside. Since 2005, its growth has been observed systematically. Partial fertility rates in the surveyed years were characterized by varying tendency. General and sub-fertility rates vary in different subregions and living environment. Research shows that the total fertility rate in both urban and rural population does not provide a simple replacement of generations. Values of gross reproduction rates vary in different subregions, both in urban and rural. Estimated model for the trend of population reproduction rates vary in shape according to the residential environment.

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1 Prace i Materiały Wydziału Zarządzania Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego

1 Chromińska M.

1 2011

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Zmiany współczynników reprodukcji ludności w województwie wielkopolskim w latach 2000–2009