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Demography and Demand on Child Care Services and Education - Projections up to 2020

100%
Szukalski P.
Polityka Społeczna
|
2008
|
vol. 35
|
issue 5-6(410-411)
20-23
EN
Years-to-come will be a period when births will increase. The size and pace of the increase is assessed differently by institutions making demographic projections. The results of the projections is related to expected demand on child care services and on educational services. The text is aimed at indicating how the demand will change depending on numbers of child at age of creche, kinder-garden, and primary and lower secondary school up to 2020.
2
Content available remote

Threatens vs. challenges - social consequences of the population ageing

100%
Szukalski P.
Polityka Społeczna
|
2006
|
vol. 33
|
issue 9(390)
6-10
EN
Increase in numbers and proportions of the elderly is related to numerous social, political, and economic consequences. As result population ageing could be treated both as a threaten and as a challenge to a society. The attention of the author is focused on arguments used by proponents of the mentioned approaches to the process of population ageing. A crucial argument against the first approach is - according to the author - a hidden and erroneous assumption about invariability when speaking about how age affect the health status and ability and propensity to work.
3
Content available remote

Changes in family patterns - challenges to policy toward family

100%
Szukalski P.
Polityka Społeczna
|
2007
|
vol. 34
|
issue 8(401)
50-53
EN
Changes in patterns of marital and procreation behaviours are more and more widespread in Europe and in Poland. It forces to rethink the public policy toward family. Driven by increase in diversity of family forms and increase in expectations to support reconciliation of family duties and the professional ones public policy has to use a modified definition of the family to include new forms of long-term relations.
4

The maximum of the life expectancy - an overview of demographic publications

100%
Szukalski P.
Studia Demograficzne
|
2004
|
issue 1(145)
3-23
EN
The existence of the upper bound of the life expectancy is still a subject of lively discussion among researchers of different disciplines (demography, actuary, genetics, biometrics, etc.). The article presents arguments for and against the existence of such maximum, and opinions concerning its value.The discussion of advantages and disadvantages of the life expectancy as a proper parameter to be used opens the paper with an emphasis on some interpretative possibilities and limitations when referring to the period and cohort life tables. Syntheses of theoretic discussions on the upper bound of longevity and estimates of it, formulated in the past, constitute two consecutive parts. Considerations on these theoretic concepts and past estimates give the impression how strongly conclusions concerning the expected maximum life expectancy are based on intuition rather than on solid scientific grounds. Improvements in mortality usually progresses faster than scientists' expectations. Currently, experts' opinions and future estimates imply that the life expectancy of 85 years for both sexes together will be exceeded up till 2050. It will question many predictions concerning mortality, and possibly give way to the new ones. The paper concludes that it seems to be better to formulate predictions concerning future trends in the life expectancy rather than make fundamental quantitative statements about its value. It is also suggested that possibly it is not the maximum life expectancy that should be considered. Maybe, it is more important to ask, whether the further lengthening of life will be accompanied by improvement of health among the old and the increase in the disability-free age.
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