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Unia walutowa a ryzyko walutowe

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Bukietyńska A., Czekała M.
Central European Review of Economics and Management
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2015
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vol. 15
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issue 5
609-618
PL
W artykule rozpatrzono problem wstąpienia Polski do strefy euro, rozważając ściśle dotyczące tego zagadnienia ryzyko walutowe. Podjęto próbę oszacowania kosztów związanych z eliminacją ryzyka kursowego. Badania zostały przeprowadzone na danych od stycznia 2012 do sierpnia 2014 roku.
EN
In the article the problem of accession of Poland to the euro zone is examined considering the foreign exchange risk closely associated with this issue. An attempt to estimate the costs associated with the elimination of the exchange rate risk was made. Research was conducted on the data from January 2012 to August 2014.
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EXTREME STATISTICS IN THE ANALYSIS OF THE EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY OF CHF/PLN

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Bukietyńska A., Czekała M.
Central European Review of Economics and Management
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2016
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vol. 16
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issue 3
203-210
EN
The article presents the analysis of the exchange volatility of the Swiss franc against the Polish złoty (CHF/PLN). This issue has a significant practical relevance. Owing to its considerable volatility, the exchange rate of this currency pair has had a significant impact on the situation of several hundred  thousand of borrowers. In the first decade of this century there were numerous loans (predominantly housing loans) granted which were denominated in Swiss francs. This often causes serious difficulties in debt servicing and can have significant social and economic implications. Therefore, those in power have been seeking to solve this problem in a variety of ways although no solutions has been implemented at the time of sending this paper for publishing.
PL
W pracy rozpatrywano zachowanie pary CHFPLN.  Dla wielu ludzi w Polsce jest to bardzo ważna waluta ponieważ polskie banki właśnie we frankach szwajcarskich udzielały wielu kredytów. W celu zbadania kursu wymiennego wykorzystano elementy teorii statystyk  pozycyjnych .Twierdzenie Bermana daje przydatny wynik w dwóch przypadkach. Natomiast zastosowanie niestacjonarnych  modeli i rozkładu Pareto (grube ogony) nie przyniosło zadowalających rezultatów.
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