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in the keywords:  Koniunktura gospodarcza, Cykl koniunkturalny, Modele ekonometryczne, Indeks giełdowy
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Wpływ oczekiwań na kształtowanie się indeksów giełdowych na przykładzie WIG

100%
Osińska M.
Prace i Materiały Instytutu Rozwoju Gospodarczego SGH
|
1999
|
vol. 64
85-89
EN
The author presents an econometric model which tries to explain the development of the daily index of Warsaw Stock Exchange by some other variables of the fmancial market, including the actual and expected values of the DM/PLN exchange rate and Dow-Jones index. The results indicate that Warsaw Stock Exchange does not confirm the effective market hypothesis. This would legitimate the attempts at modelling and forecasting of the developments in the stock market.
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