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Analiza porównawcza wpływu zmian płodności i umieralności na starzenie się ludności w Polsce

100%
Szklarska M., Najman P.
Prace i Materiały Wydziału Zarządzania Uniwersytetu Gdańskiego
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2011
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vol. 2
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issue 3
83-97
EN
The aim of the study is to compare the effect of changes in fertility and mortality on population aging in Poland by provinces. The following hypotheses were verified:(1) the main factor affecting the aging of the population in Poland is the decline of fertility, (2) lengthening of life expectancy of elderly people has a weaker effect, due to the lower rate of decline of mortality in this population, (3) aging of the population in Poland varies depending on the place of residence. To verify these assumptions, considered two types of scenarios. The first one shows the evolution of population structure, individual regions, assuming a constant level of fertility, which are assigned to hypothetical changes in mortality. In the second indicated how changes in population structure, with varying fertility attributed to a constant level of mortality.
2

JE STÁRNUTÍ POPULACE TRAGÉDIí?

88%
Loužek M.
Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
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2008
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vol. 56
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issue 6
565-581
EN
Aging should be viewed as a natural part of the life course and population aging as a transition not a crisis. First part examines population aging causes. Second part draws attention to uncertainty of the demographic projections. Third part analyses dependency ratio in international perspective. Forth part is concerned with health care spending. Fifth part outlines the public policy reactions. Sixth part deals with pension reform. Seventh part asks a question whether population aging is burden or blessing. According to the paper, older people are active, productive and will continue to play a valuable role in the future.
3

EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS OF EU MEMBER STATES IN THE CONTEXT OF POPULATION AGING

88%
Soukupová N., Kocourková M., Klicnarová J.
Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
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2023
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vol. 71
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issue 10
646 – 666
EN
The population aging might threaten the economic development and efficiency of EU Member States. Based on the demographic projections, the EU’s old-age dependency ratio (as proxies of population aging) will be almost double – from 31% in 2019 to 57% in 2100. This study focuses on the efficiency analysis of European Union Member States in the context of population aging. Utilizing Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and the Malmquist Productivity Index, we evaluated how demographic changes affect the economic efficiency of various EU countries. Our findings reveal that some states, such as the Czech Republic, Germany, and Luxembourg, demonstrate high-efficiency levels when considering demographic factors. The results suggest that technological advancement and innovation are crucial in addressing the challenges associated with population aging.
4
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DŁUGOTERMINOWE REGIONALNE KONSEKWENCJE MIGRACJI W EUROPIE - METODA OCENY I WYBRANE WYNIKI

75%
Kupiszewski M., Kupiszewska D.
Studia Migracyjne - Przegląd Polonijny
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2012
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vol. 38
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issue 2(144)
105-134
EN
The paper presents a method of assessment of the long-term impact of migration on the development of population and labour force in 287 regions of Europe in 31 countries. The first stage of the study was to prepare population projections in several variants. An important issue was to address the problem of the availability and quality of data on international migration. The measurement of the impact of migration on total population and labour force was conducted by comparing the percentage changes in population and labour force obtained in various simulations. The impact on the age structure was examined by analyzing demographic and labour force dependency ratios. A method of comparing the impact of various components of population change: natural change and different categories of migration flows (extra-European migration, international migration within Europe and internal migration) was proposed. In the second part of the paper, selected results of the simulations, showing potential long-term consequences of the observed migration flows, were presented. Special attention was paid to the regional differences in the consequences.
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