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APPLICATION OF MULTIVARIATE DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS FOR PREDICTION OF BANKRUPTCY OF SELECTED CONSTRUCTION AND DEVELOPMENT COMPANIES

100%
Zielińska-Sitkiewicz M.
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
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2014
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vol. 15
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issue 2
261-272
EN
Functioning of the company in the conditions of the free market competition depends on its flexible reactions to changes and the response speed to perturbations in the unstable economy. Entities, which are not able to keep up with the current changes, enter the path of crisis in the company, which last stage may be the bankruptcy. The paper presents an attempt to use and evaluate five Polish models of the multivariate discriminant analysis in forecasting the threat of bankruptcy. The analysis was conducted for the years 2008 – 2013. For the study there were selected 10 construction and real estate development companies, listed on the main market of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, which profit and loss account is made in the calculation model and for which in the years 2012-2014 there were initiated the bankruptcy proceedings.
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Zastosowanie metod wielowymiarowej analizy dyskryminacyjnej do oceny kondycji firm deweloperskich

63%
Zielińska-Sitkiewicz M.
Metody Ilościowe w Badaniach Ekonomicznych
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2012
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vol. 13
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issue 3
288-301
PL
W pracy przedstawiono próbę ogólnej oceny kondycji wybranych firm deweloperskich notowanych na Warszawskiej Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych. Wykorzystano modele wielowymiarowej analizy dyskryminacyjnej, opracowane w Polsce. Podjęto również próbę oceny wykorzystanych modeli. Do badania wybrano 17 dużych firm deweloperskich: GTC, ECHO, POLNORD, LCC, GANT, DOM DEVELOPMENT, RONSON, JW. CONSTRUCTION, ROBYG, TUP, TRITON, ALTERCO, CELTIC, EDINVEST, INPRO, JHMDEV oraz WIKANA. Analizie poddano dane finansowe spółek z bilansów i rachunków wyników w okresie od 1 stycznia 2005 do 31 grudnia 2011.
EN
The paper contains consideration about usage discriminant analysis in financial audit of developers. 17 major developers, which are listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange ( WSE) were selected for study : GTC, ECHO, POLNORD, LCC, GANT, HOUSE DEVELOPMENT, RONSON, JW. CONSTRUCTION, ROBYG, TUP, TRITON, ALTERCO, CELTIC, EDINVEST, INPRO, JHMDEV and WIKANA. The analysis encompassed financial data from balance sheets and from profit and loss account in the period from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2011.
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