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HINDSIGHT BIAS AND ITS REVERSAL: WHAT WILL TIME REVEAL?

100%
Konečný M., Bačová V.
Studia Psychologica
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2012
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vol. 54
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issue 4
251 – 259
EN
This experimental study explores temporal characteristics of hindsight bias (HB). The relation between temporal placements of outcome-supporting antecedents and outcome probability judgments were examined in 10 forensic accident animations. Sixty-two students in 2 conditions assessed outcome probability before and after driver’s error were apparent from an animation. Hindsight bias only occurred in judgments after driver’s error was apparent, however reversed HB resulted in prior time-points. In certain cases, both effects were present within an animation. Presence of hindsight bias and its reversal in different time-points of a single unfolding event suggests that these effects might be results of the same sense making process. Possible explanations are discussed in framework of causal model theory and counterfactual thinking.
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MAKING SENSE OF THE EUROPEAN UNION: MAPPING ‘THOUGHT COMMUNITIES’ IN SIX EU MEMBER STATES

75%
Bátora J., Baboš P.
Sociológia (Sociology)
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2020
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vol. 52
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issue 6
527 - 558
EN
How do Europeans make sense of the European Union (EU) and its processes of integration? Are there patterns of such understanding shared by citizens across borders of EU member states? The current article uses relational class analysis (RCA) to establish whether there are groups of citizens in selected EU member states sharing ideational construal of the EU. The purpose here is to complement extant studies of public attitudes towards the EU by exploring how citizens actually make sense of the Union. We develop an analytical framework and apply it to analyse survey data from a representative sample of citizens from six EU member states – Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Italy and Slovakia (N=4249).
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