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The author examines uncertainty and the factors that determine it analysing the two dimensions of uncertainty. Unpredictability is a term used here of situations where people feel that they cannot foresee what will happen in the future, and insecurity refers to situations where there is a negative affective state because of the perception that one cannot know for sure what will happen in the future. In the present study, besides providing a sociological description of uncertainty, three macro- and five micro-theories are tested on how well they can explain the level of the two dimensions of uncertainty (unpredictability, insecurity) and the focus of uncertainty in Hungary. In the case of the macro-hypotheses, assumptions on the uncertainty constellation of the whole Hungarian society are formulated, compared to three other countries (Great Britain, France, Greece). In the case of the micro-hypotheses, assumptions are made about the uncertainty constellations of individuals within Hungary, compared to other Hungarian individuals. The Hungarian part of the empirical material of the study consists of a representative Omnibus survey. To test the macro-hypotheses the author uses survey data from the other three countries examined. The data were collected in the first half of 2002.
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