This paper examines the geopolitical implications of a weakened European Union (EU) in relation to Russian interests. A unified EU poses challenges to Russian policy, while internal discord offers Russia opportunities to advance its agenda. The EU's composition of 27 sovereign states often impedes cohesive action, especially in foreign, security, and defense policies, as noted by Judy Dempsey. This fragmentation benefits Russia, which exploits these divisions. The paper analyzes Russia’s foreign policy leading up to the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict and explores the EU’s role in security during the war, highlighting the impact of EU unity and discord on the crisis.
This paper examines the transformation of the European Union’s Eastern Partnership (EaP) in light of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine and the shifting geopolitical realities of Eastern Europe. Launched in 2009 to promote democratic reforms and closer EU integration among six eastern neighbours – Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine – the EaP now faces a fundamental reassessment of its goals and relevance. Ukraine’s candidacy for EU membership, formalised in 2022 and advanced by the decision to open accession talks in 2023, marks a turning point in the EU’s neighbourhood policy. The paper explores how the war has altered the security architecture of the region, exposed the EU’s strategic vulnerabilities, and forced a recalibration of its external engagement strategies. Ukraine’s path to EU membership, while symbolically significant, remains fraught with political, legal, and institutional challenges, particularly amid ongoing conflict. The study argues that the future of the EaP depends on its ability to adapt to these complex dynamics, evolving from a normative framework into a more pragmatic, security-oriented platform that reflects the urgent demands of the post-2022 European order. By focusing on Ukraine’s pivotal role, the paper highlights broader implications for EU enlargement, regional security, and the Union’s role as a global actor.
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